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Replies to #59138 on Biotech Values
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Nerf

02/16/08 7:02 AM

#59152 RE: DewDiligence #59138

Dew, I think that zipjet will concur that it is indeed highly likely that the poster in question not only has the ability to take a large short position in MNTA, but likely would not fabricate such a story simply for the sake of message board banter.
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quantumdot

02/16/08 8:14 AM

#59155 RE: DewDiligence #59138

MNTA - >>you didn’t screw anything up, but I have a hard time believing that the poster in question was/is really short.

Agree. This whole thread over on the RPRX board is completely bogus. It is clear that the level of understanding of the company, their markets/products etc is negligible. I know more about MNTA than the supposed "deep pocket short" and I have no position and don't even follow it.

I think this is simply transparent retaliation at Thomas and Dew for your occasional guest spots over on the RPRX board questioning the investment thesis for that company.

Tit for tat posting... people must be bored.
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zipjet

02/16/08 11:55 AM

#59161 RE: DewDiligence #59138

>>I have a hard time believing that the poster in question was/is really short.

Doc has not told me he shorted MNTA. But it looked like he was saying so on the RPRX thread. I do know and like him.

He is well informed on RPRX.

His appreciation of MNTA is flawed. But I would not expect that to keep him or other hedge funds from shorting a money-burning biotech that has been rejected by the FDA and had a dead-cat bounce. That is what it looks like - however superficial that view may turn out to be.

Add to the mix that the shorts made a bundle on the stock, have reduced the shorting by millions of shares and see the opportunity to heavily short it again at a point in time where institutional holders have reduced their support. What will the price of the stock do if another 4 million shares are shorted opportunistically with no uptick rule? BS seems to support the short trade with their comments. Since no significant* news is expected in the next couple of months there is time for the shorts to develop this trade.

ij

* BTW - I do not consider the Appeal a significant news item if the lower court decision is upheld. A reversal or another new trial would be a significant negative.