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nancy2

03/11/04 9:18 PM

#216962 RE: ajtj99 #216958

AJ, those puts could have been put sold in a put spread months ago.

And I dont believe max pain work if market in a full blown correction mode.

NYSE has a 5day trin above 10, and a back to back 3 days in a row trin above 2. I dont think that even happened in the brutal bear market.

The problem is 50dma are broken on all indice and 200dma are way below.


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The Freep

03/11/04 10:10 PM

#216978 RE: ajtj99 #216958

AJ -- I know and respect the eyeball max pain method. However, what I'm pointing out is that as with all things, there's more there than meets the eye. There was a month or two without a real satisfying max pain hit. There is no guarantee it works... particularly when there are potential reasons to ignore some 200K puts.

But we're getting ahead of ourselves. Perhaps call buyers were hitting the QQQ today, and put owners selling. Or maybe bulls will be buying calls during the down, much like put buyers kept buying all the way up.

Anyway, all things being equal, max pain probably will work out in a fashion. But I wouldn't be buying/selling front month calls based on it right now <g>

the freep