Replies to post #2276 on Thrift Savings Plan

[swing man]

Hey French sorry couldn't pm ya. I'm cheap that way. All is well on this end, mainly trading options lately. BA and FDX when this pullback settles. Hope all is well with you.

[frenchee]

This is a supplemental report for the info sent on 10 Nov

The TSP fund's short-term technical oscillators suggest the funds are oversold and losing downside momentum. Moreover, the long-term trend of the stock funds remains upward. And seasonal tendencies remain bullish. Finally, with the news headlines so negative, the art of contrary thinking could be useful. The business and financial news has taken a turn toward the gloomy side due to concerns about housing and credit problems. But keep in mind that the stock market is a leading economic indicator and the news is a lagging indicator. Stock prices typically discount the future many months ahead. Therefore, the current news usually arrives too late to be of much actual use to investors. Plan on doing some buying if significant strength shows up on Tuesday per the action limits below.


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What to Do for 13 Nov 07
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L Fund (Lifecycle Income) Move to 50% to Lifecycle 2020 if C or S go on a buy signal.
Current L Fund allocation is 50%.


F Fund (20 Year + Treasury Bond Fund)
Current F Fund allocation is 0%.
***Effective portfolio allocation considering L Fund is 03.0%.


C Fund (S&P 500 Index) If SPY > $146.53, move 7% to C Fund.
Current C Fund allocation is 0%.
***Effective portfolio allocation considering L Fund is 06.0%.


S Fund (Wilshire 4500 Index) If DWCP or $EMW > $ 661.46, move 6% to S Fund.
Current S Fund allocation is 0%.
***Effective portfolio allocation considering L Fund is 01.5%.


I Fund (EAFE Index) If EFA > $82.20, move 13% to I Fund.
Current I Fund allocation is 0%.
***Effective portfolio allocation considering L Fund is 02.5%.


G Fund (Money Market)
Current G Fund allocation is 50%.
***Effective portfolio allocation considering L Fund is 87.0%.



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