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Paul A

12/29/03 6:05 PM

#186597 RE: Zeev Hed #186596

geesh- this TRIB is on fire after hours.. Pullsback and volume comes to a halt all day and at the close it decides to come back from the dead..

Im peeved because I almost bought some this AM.. and again I almost bought after hours at 5.15 :(

forget it and move on I guess
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langostino

12/29/03 6:11 PM

#186598 RE: Zeev Hed #186596

Zeev - sorry

I see my note was in "reply" to your post -- but it wasn't intended to be directed at you. I guess my frustration happened to reach the "gotta respond to this stuff" level by the time I reached your post and so ... (g)

Well, anyway, it's difficult to tell what appreciation potential Kurlak thinks the higher margin semi producers have from here b/c he hasn't commented in any of the pieces I've read recently. From his overall tone, I suspect he's probably right in line with your own thinking about where the top of the cycle will take stocks like INTC, so certainly not overly bullish -- maybe another 35% to 45%.

In fact, the implication in these pieces was that he was really sifting through the semis generally in search of something with better appreciation potential -- and less downside if it turns out this cycle isn't as robust as we though, because more of the 2H run has been on the back of inventory build.