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Re: Zeev Hed post# 186596

Monday, 12/29/2003 6:11:32 PM

Monday, December 29, 2003 6:11:32 PM

Post# of 704041
Zeev - sorry

I see my note was in "reply" to your post -- but it wasn't intended to be directed at you. I guess my frustration happened to reach the "gotta respond to this stuff" level by the time I reached your post and so ... (g)

Well, anyway, it's difficult to tell what appreciation potential Kurlak thinks the higher margin semi producers have from here b/c he hasn't commented in any of the pieces I've read recently. From his overall tone, I suspect he's probably right in line with your own thinking about where the top of the cycle will take stocks like INTC, so certainly not overly bullish -- maybe another 35% to 45%.

In fact, the implication in these pieces was that he was really sifting through the semis generally in search of something with better appreciation potential -- and less downside if it turns out this cycle isn't as robust as we though, because more of the 2H run has been on the back of inventory build.

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