Replies to post #509487 on Anavex Life Sciences Corp (AVXL)

[ohsaycanyousee82]

Sounds like you are backtracking. You knew all of this before the request of an oral presentation and you still had approval % significantly better than a coin flip.

You know, the agency reviewing the Anavex application also knew all of this before Anavex breezed through the first clock stop. Or do you think the first time they ever thought about it was just before their “trending” ruling?

People probably bought stock on your 75% approval chances. The entire Longtermbeliever clan probably loaded up on your nod.

Always easy to predict a winner after the game is over. You are in good company with the average message board “knucklehead”.

[catdaddy]

Good to see you continue hurtling toward total obscurity.

[ohsaycanyousee82]

“Now we have more information and so a new prior to reset the Bayesian inference of approval chances that have clearly gone down - unfortunate but true!”

What new information do we have other than the “Trending” announcement?

What changed in the underlying science/trial results?