Replies to post #751023 on NorthWest Biotherapeutics Inc (NWBO)

[XMaster2023]

Just Short Fuzzy Logic. It’s Ironic that they say LP is corrupt when LP is suing the 7 market makers for collusion.

[KRISGO]

I agree the stock has been diluted consistently for the past two years, and I strongly believe that’s one of the main reasons we're trading at such a low price. For example, today our market cap is $330M with a stock volume around 1.4B. If the stock were less diluted and had a volume of only 700M, wouldn't we be trading above 50 cents?

[skitahoe]

Krisgo, while I don't believe LP has intentionally kept the price down, but I do agree she'll have many more shares. The good news is that we've had the opportunity to share in these low prices.

I know I own more shares than I ever dreamed of having and I suspect that's true of many here.

With an approval occurring any day, I believe our market cap ought to be somewhere in the $1 to $3 billion range, which is at least 3 times to 9 times what it is today. Post approval I think the $2 to $5 billion market cap should apply.

I don't believe the MM's and shorts will be able to hold the share price down post approval, especially if we get the right kind of media coverage.

At something above $5 we may be overpriced, but if other news is out, and positive, perhaps not. In other stocks I've seen big media coverage result in a feeding frenzy that took stock prices to totally unrealistic levels, and invariably the stock fell back to earth, that's where setting trailing stop loss orders can work well. I'm not a trader, I generally won't buy and sell, but if we're into double digits I will set trailing stop losses for much, if not all my shares. Depending on whether we get additional news that goes beyond UK approval I would expect to be able to buy the stock back somewhere between $3 and $5 if it peaks at or near double digit prices.

Meanwhile, as I said, by at least a few hundred thousand shares I have much more than I ever dreamed of buying. That wouldn't have happened if after the NYAS presentation the stock traded for $1 or more, which I believe it should have had it not been for the concerted efforts of AdamF, the 7 MM's, and the shorts.

Gary

[FeMike]

I don’t quite understand your reasoning that Linda is diluting the stock for her own benefit. If she were to receive 100 shares with less dilution instead of 400, she would probably expect the stock price to rise to $40, not $10.

No, that’s not how the math works at all.

If she owned 100% of the company that would be the case, but she doesn’t. Because she owns only a fraction, and the dilution gets distributed across the entire investor base, each share she gets is easily a net positive even with dilution.

To illustrate how this works. Let’s say Linda owns 100 million shares and let’s say that is 10% of the company. If Linda pays herself another 100 million shares, she now owns twice as much. 200 million. However, the company value has only been diluted 10%.

So in this scenario, let’s say the company was worth $1B before Linda paid herself. Stock price was $1. Linda had $100M. After she paid herself, the company valuation stayed the same so the stock price dropped to $.91. But now Linda has 200M shares, so she has $182 million.

So even with the dilution, it’s worth way more to her to get more shares. Unfortunately retail investors aren’t trued up like this, so our value just goes down. We have to eat the loss, not her.