Replies to post #500164 on Tornado Alley (PROG)

[OMOLIVES]

No..that's not how it works. They are odds....gender does not come into play. Ever....

[OMOLIVES]

And to back it up .... https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/betting_odds/2016_president/

That was a major "bank" upset.

And this was 2020:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/betting_odds/2020_president/

No gender...just formulas.

[B402]

Wouldn't count on the gender gap........

Today 53% to 42%
https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/gender-gap-decide-2024-election/story?id=115272924

2020.....57% to 42%
https://www.msnbc.com/know-your-value/how-women-voters-decided-2020-election-n1247746

2016.........59% to 35%
https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2016/07/28/a-closer-look-at-the-gender-gap-in-presidential-voting/

Historically more Women vote dem between 50 and 55% (See pew link) So this election is within historical percentages and that's with Dobbs and a woman candidate.....