News Focus
News Focus
icon url

DesertDrifter

06/06/24 2:16 AM

#478150 RE: B402 #478131

Your repetitive simplistic assertions are really making this board less interesting. If your goal is to respond to everyone until you get someone who bothers to respond to you, mostly in ways that are generally more nuanced and complex than you seem capable of grasping... asking and asserting disproven shit over and over only serve to clog up the board with your shit for hours on end. You seem to not understand that tossing your shit into what is mostly a group of bright people who are mostly accomplished in their lives is mostly just annoying as you never seem to accept actual factual things counter to your "beliefs" so rational exchanges with you mostly become you insulting the board in ways that apparently you believe to be oh so clever and then when you goad someone far enough, you get it returned in more direct ways. It is why often no one bothers to even respond, but you are good at button-pushing and you take advantage of the good nature of most people here. You push anyone who is generally good natured to the point of where civility is lost, and then you bitch at them as if your are not an instigator... your self-congratulatory way of trying to belittle someone who has just handed your head to you intellectually is mostly just tedious.

Yes, I know you will parse any phrase you don't agree with and then flog it until another 10 posts go by and you have again achieved your patented board filibuster status.

I used to manage a bunch of people, and I can honestly say that I would have fired you long ago, as having people whose first move is always dissent is only of much value if the dissenter is bright enough to add something to the mission most of the times they dissent, and exercise judgement of when to buck the status. You seem incapable of self-regulation. Congenital whiners bring down the whole group, and are usually better served not working in a group. Your self-perception is very out of synch with reality much of the time, I doubt anyone would call you an interesting, head screwed on straight person but rather one that veers from the truth a lot and whose story seems to change with regularity. Your crap is virtually always partisan even though you reject that reality, and that is why no one trusts you even when you make a valid observation (rare, though).

It isn't a democracy here, or you would have been voted off the island long ago. In fact, you have been given an extremely long leash, as there are people that enjoy peeing you into the dirt so we indulge them, but you make so many flat out troll posts that you might not want to get too comfortable.
icon url

blackhawks

06/06/24 9:31 AM

#478157 RE: B402 #478131

'Could well be' and 'never know', of f'ing course, mean it could well be not and we may well know.

Migration is not just out of state but often much closer to where many voters used to live.


People living in the suburbs are now more likely, than in previous decades, to be college-educated, a demographic group that has been more likely to vote for Democratic candidates and hold more liberal political views.

Interestingly, it was this demographic group, college-educated voters, who made up a large share of Nikki Haley’s supporters during her Republican primary campaign. Many Republican women who backed Trump in 2016 and 2020 shifted to Haley in the 2024 primaries – arguing that Haley would be able to unify the party and bring about change while Trump could not deliver on either of those issues.

And while Trump outperformed Haley in most demographic groups throughout the primaries, college-educated women were the exception.
As Trump and Biden compete for Haley’s voting bloc now, the place to find these voters may just be in the suburbs. And this is where college-educated residents now make up the largest share of the population.

Both candidates could face difficulties in suburbia, though. Throughout the primaries, gaining support from suburban voters has been one of Trump’s key weaknesses.

Currently, Biden is doing slightly better with the key suburban demographic groups than Trump. Among college-educated adults, Biden has a favorability rating of 46.6%, while Trump only records a 39.7% favorability rating (where people rank their feelings towards a politician as positive or negative).

However, the president may not do as well in smaller suburban counties where the population is less likely to be college-educated. Current polling shows that Trump does much better among people with education qualifications up to a high school diploma (56.7% favorability rating) than Biden (36%).

Trump’s suburban woman problem

However, Trump has not been doing as well in the suburbs during the primaries as pollsters had predicted. This has raised questions about the accuracy of polls and potential biases or blind spots.

Moving populations and changing demographics are also a potential explanation. There are other issues at stake in 2024 that may cause shifts in electoral behaviour and which could mean these voters are not wiling to reveal their intentions to pollsters.

One example of this is the issue of abortion rights. While some conservative voters have disclosed that they were supportive of abortion rights and were therefore not voting for Trump, there may be a significant number of women, particularly in more conservative neighbourhoods and states, who may be hesitant to disclose such shifts in voting intentions.

Haley did well among suburban women, particularly those who had concerns about Trump’s policies on family and health, wanted more focus on the economy and were not happy with the nastiness of the Trump campaign.

If the key to the White House is winning over Haley’s voters, as has been widely suggested since her exit from the race, this voting group may just be what Biden needs, a detail that has not gone unnoticed by his campaign.


https://theconversation.com/biden-v-trump-winning-suburbia-is-key-to-clinching-the-presidency-in-2024-225248