Replies to post #514212 on NorthWest Biotherapeutics Inc (NWBO)

[FeMike]

Excellent post, very relevant.

PFS didn’t fail. The ability to identify PFS failed.

[dr_lowenstein]

That is what we scientists call bullshit

[jondoeuk]

This trial did not fail to meet PFS, the original primary endpoint because it became clear during the trial, that PFS, a surrogate of OS, has failed miserably as an adequate endpoint in this trial and is most likely an unsuitable endpoint for other immunotherapeutic trials.

Looking at progression-free survival, the hazard ratio was 1.1. So those in the vaccine arm did worse than placebo. They didn't report the hazard ratio for overall survival, but the blended median overall survival was 23.1 months for placebo, while for the vaccine it was 22.4 months. Again, the vaccine did worse than placebo. So, the trend was to harm, not benefit. Or put simply, the trial failed.