Replies to post #210432 on Liquidmetal Technologies Inc (LQMT)

[NetAdmin2436]

My question to the board: can someone please take a stab at explaining what the causes of the three GOLD deviations in October 2020, November 2020, and January 2021?

I have some theories on what happened.

November 2020
This one is most obvious one to me. LQMT released after hours earnings on 11/10/2010. The price sunk 11/11/2020 and proceeded to go lower. This was entirely a what most considered a disappointing earnings release. I remember because I posted a warning to the board of a single digit share price if we had an earnings release in the range of 300k-500k. I did some selling on 11/11/2020 myself. I probably sold 10% of my LQMT holdings that day in the mid to high 9's. FYI here - A month later, I posted to the board that I was a buyer at 8 cents after thinking more about the "disappointing" earnings release. Risk Reward was attractive at 8 cents. I bought that 10% back and more.

January 2021
January 6th the US senate was scheduled to vote to certify the electoral college election results. The market hates uncertainty; that's what we had prior to January 6th. After the nonsense that occurred that day, the results were certified late into the late night/early morning. January 7th the price of LQMT shot up. The thinking is the new administration will be less combative with China and ease trade tensions. As you know, we have a lot of partnerships/connections in Li's China maze. I did not buy nor sell during this time. I'm a bit less confident about this theory, but it's the one significant event that happened that day.

October 2020
Last but not least is the October plunge. This one is just a guess for me. I think this is just profit takers and no news supporting the inflated share price. As I recall the bids were getting smaller and lower in price and support seamed on shaky ground. Basically investors not trusting the "volume order" press release and/or no new investor/traders joining in. Looking back at my transactions, I did sell a small 5% or so around 12 cents.

[PayMEmf]

Appreciate the input:) the only information that makes sense is the five year Joint Development period ends in this year on that month...

Apple glass and air tags along with air power may drop in March...just a guess

[NetAdmin2436]

Lastly, that 180 day period of the sine wave puts the end of that structural component squarely in March 2021.....there's that month again...I think it's safe to expect major action of some sort next month.

The 10k will be released sometime early March.

[LQMTinvestor2018]

First drop is disappointing earnings after previously announcing a “volume contract with recurring orders”, next quick rise in my opinion was a pump and dump / penny trader move and some getting back in feeling it had bottomed / FOMO, and the final run in January I think is due to the blog released at the end of December getting out and people waiting to purchase until the new year and getting excited again for 2021 fantasies.

[tnyellowtomcat]

WTF??

A Tomcat just wants the LQMT price to go up!!

Tomcat

[u3ratsinabag]

The short interest chart reinforces my point. The November & January deviations from the structure were to the upside, thereby providing cover for the shorties as evidenced by the temporary rises in short interest. Obviously there was no short interest spike for the October deviation because it was to the downside.
The January run probably worked out as a really safe short trade if the entity taking the position was paying attention to the underlying structure. They would have known that the lift off from the sine wave would be temporary, triggering the bump in short interest, then as the share price snapped back to the wave structure, short positions were closed for a nice profit. Who in their right mind would have shorted LQMT in January, if not a MM armed with such knowledge???
Overall though, aside from those brief spikes, the long term short interest hasn't changed.