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123tom

02/04/21 1:19 PM

#10266 RE: Gator328 #10261

I've constructed this chart so far


Watch resistance zone 19-20.50 area

Based on what price action did to the point I started drawing...looking for a continued climb into a resistance danger zone (19-20-21 area) see the red box. That would represent a bearish ABC bounce in the math pattern I look at. The bullish target zone is higher ,the blue box around 23-24 ,or higher, the math shows this 24 target areas a finished rally wave to recover the downwave. I call it bullish because it wasnt failing at the 20 dollar resistance,it would be making a full math rally pattern ...to 23-24,and would suggest a bullish strength, so I'm watching the resistance around 19-20 to falter,and retest 16-15 again, then the bearish pattern would look to bounce and fail around 17.50 area, and the downwave pattern would be looking at targets 14 area (the 50% haircut from the 28 top) and maybe targets at 12 and 11. and extreme goes all the way back to 10 and 8 area. I cant forecast that much too soon. the key area to watch now is the Battle in the 16-20 area. The bullish pattern wants to target 23-24 and then pullback And Hold at the 18.50-19.50 - 20 area and then rally strong again to try and retest the top.
So the key area to watch is resistance overhead 19-21 area to Fail and retest 16 area to hold. The bullish key area to watch is a better rally that breaks thru the 20 resistance to target 23-24, and then pulls back to Hold the support line around 19-20 area.

and now...30 or 45 minutes later ,you can see that it followed the track pattern I described, hitting resistance near 20 and dropping down to retest the 16. If this resistance at 19-20 continues, we could see the downwave continue to find lower targets. Unless 16.50 area Holds as a critical support zone now. I'd rather see the rally I described...reach 23-24 and pull back to hold 18.50-19 area.

Resistance at 20 wins the first Battle

and now if the battle happens between 15.50 and 19.50 the middle step around 17.50 is that target point for the downwave to continue to test 14/13/12/11 area