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01/19/21 5:54 PM

#363209 RE: wEaReLeGiOn #363195

Good point re Schumer and would love to be leaning as you to McConnell voting to impeach. However, he'd want to be minority leader more than anything else so would he have enough fellow senators with him to impeach. That was my thought, and felt likely no. Next though, better see how others felt. This is the first i looked at and since Kilgore obviously knows better than i i'm sticking to the feeling Mitch will vote no.

Are There Enough Senate Republican Votes to Convict Trump?

By Ed Kilgore Jan. 14, 2021

[...]

The McConnell Factor

Mitch McConnell is notorious for valuing doubt about his intentions, so all the blind quotes from those said to be familiar with his thinking on an impeachment trial should be accordingly discounted. His own statement that he is “open” to a conviction is indeed different from his public admissions before the first impeachment trial that he was closely coordinating with the White House on a defense for the president. But it’s still literally and figuratively an expression of the formal neutrality customary for all senators before an impeachment trial, not a veiled signal that he’s going to send Trump to political hell. The two things we know for sure about McConnell is that he’s not going to go against a majority of his conference on anything important and that he’s already ensured, by refusing to reconvene the Senate until January 19, a trial managed by Chuck Schumer.

With Joe Biden taking office and testing Republican unity early and often, you have to assume McConnell isn’t going to divide his troops or lead them into a massive intraparty fight. Maybe he’ll give the signal that further defections are all right if a majority of Republican senators are onboard for convicting Trump, but he probably won’t do a single thing to make that happen. So if the pro-conviction band remains limited to five or eight or ten Republican senators, don’t count on Mitch to flip the board.

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/trump-conviction-republican-votes.html

Would love to be thinking McConnell might listen to Georgia voters more. but, lol, just can't get there. Hoping i'm wrong.