News Focus
News Focus
icon url

PokerStar

12/27/20 12:57 PM

#62102 RE: bluebird50 #62004

Very well said Bluebird. From tapping into a virtually untapped segment of the population and then taking market share away from other financial institutions and the likes of PayPal. We will succeed and we have a great team and CEO that will grow this company by leaps and bounds in the first year alone and well beyond. Those still sitting on the sidelines watching other investors watching their investment grow almost daily. Eventually we'll see a massive uptick in this as shares are being eaten by large entities and hedge funds and very deep pocket backers. All those with doubts about jumping onboard at this point, thinking they missed the boat here are sorely mistaken. Just go back on the volume and dollar value that has been traded so far in the last couple of months and it is plain as day that these shares are being accumulated by some seriously large investors and they are not here worried about the daily fluctuations in the share price. They along with many of us are here to see this to fruition and what our shares will be valued at in the future. That is where the big payoff will be. I still await the major OWCP* type move that we are going to see here. Those that doubt that for one minute will be part of the group watching from the sidelines as many of us make life changing money on our investment here. When you study level 2 closely, it is obvious that walls get eaten up regularly, then the price increases to a new level on a regular almost daily basis. You will also notice that it continues to take fewer and fewer shares to move the price higher as the available tradable shares are diminished as huge buyers are doing just that......buying..... accumulating.....and NOT selling! We are still in accumulation mode and will start to see the those huge moves in price as demand will far outpace supply and that is when prices will get explosive to the north. Next week is the start of life above .20 cents as we move closer to .50 cents IMO!




PokerStar


icon url

question_everything

12/27/20 2:22 PM

#62119 RE: bluebird50 #62004

Thank you for your response.

You are right, they do state World Population right on the slide, but why? The entire world population is clearly not a viable market. All this does it make the opportunities seem much bigger than they are, currently. Also, to your point, it is interesting that Apple pay has more users than PayPal, but think about what Apple does— when you are in their ecosystem they push their products on you. It becomes easier to use Apple Pay vs PayPal because you’re already on an apple device. I’m guessing a lot of those users are spending on apps with a smaller number actually using Apple Pay to pay in stores. Same with Google Pay— those with android phones are much more likely to use Google Pay. To have a similar effect, HUMBL would have to have its own device.

This makes HUMBL much more similar to Venmo or Paypal. Also, PayPal and Venmo might as well be combined since PayPal owns Venmo. The potential advantage HUMBL might have is lower transaction fees, assuming that PayPal doesn’t react by simply lowering their own fees like the large brokerages did to compete with Robinhood.

So, 500 million users in 2 years? Somehow they are going to acquire more customers in 2 years than Apple did in 5 years? Or nearly as many as Venmo/PayPal/ Google Pay have combined? On HUMBLs website, they state that the app can’t even be used in 11 U.S. states, including New York— Huge Market:

“HUMBL will allow you to transfer money across borders for low, transparent fees and exchange rates. You cannot currently use HUMBL if you live in Hawaii, Wyoming, New York, Oregon, North Dakota, South Dakota, Vermont, New Hampshire, Connecticut, Virginia or North Carolina.”
https://www.humblpay.com/network/overview

Even considering the opportunities in emerging markets, still have to think about the local apps that already exist in those emerging markets. I saw someone mention MercadoPago. Here is more information about them: https://www.emarketer.com/content/how-mercado-pago-is-reshaping-mobile-payments-in-latin-america

I especially think these parts are important:

“Its success in Argentina is also a result of a lack of major competitors in the market—payment services from Apple, Google and Samsung are currently unavailable there—which has given Mercado Pago a FIRST-TO-MARKET ADVANTAGE. According to a July 2019 study from mobile data company Ogury, Mercado Pago was present on 16.5% of Android and iOS mobile devices, a significantly greater share compared with PayPal (0.7%) and Todo Pago (0.5%).

THE BIGGEST CHALLENGE TO MERCADO PAGO’S FUTURE SUCCESS IS LATIN AMERICAS DECADES-LONG LOVE AFFAIR WITH CASH. Even among the region’s Gen Z and millennial adopters of proximity mobile payment technologies, cash is still heavily used, according to a September 2019 report published by Vocalink in association with Kantar.”

I think digital payments are going to become more popular since COVID, but HUMBL has a huge uphill fight. You’re right, they don’t have to get everybody, but we have to be realistic about the extent of who they can attract in the short term. I think their best strategy would be to try and do one thing really well before trying to do everything. In fact, if they focused on just placing merchants/artisans from emerging or non-US markets on their marketplace that would be niche and interesting and draw people, but as of right now, that’s not the case.

Ask yourself, honestly, have YOU bought anything in their current marketplace or used their deal days? If yes, have you told everyone about buying there and what were their thoughts? If not, why not?

So, all that considered, I predict MAYBE 2-3 million users in 2 years, on the upside, by comparing to VENMO: https://www.businessofapps.com/data/venmo-statistics/ . Assuming a working app is released soon.