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trade2much

01/05/07 11:00 AM

#287 RE: hexonx #286

hexonx - anyone's guess on the subs, as you know 4th qtr is usually the strongest due to xmas so that particular qtrs % growth is not a valid one to use in my mind. If you wanted to extrapolate imo

I would:

1. take 1st quarter 06 absolute # of subs
2. x times a reduced *increase % growth from that quarter, (ie if growth that quarter last year was a 30% increase, then in 2007 I would drop it 10% and make it a 20% increase)

3. x the 1st quarter gain of subs # in 2006 whatever that gain # was then add it to the year ending sub #. And you then have educated 2007 1st qtr sub #. Still only a swag but it is something.


I only have 6 more posts left today so , if I wait til tomorrow to respond you can understand.