I have never said I see no hope for OS. I am not in the camp that asserts the drug is a fruit drink. I do not think OS is anywhere near the slam dunk many think, but does have a shot and could show a solid tail.
I would not make any attempt to place odds. I am not investing now as overall I think LP and PFS make it a bad bet today. Once the PFS story resolves I could reconsider.
I have invested while wearing noseplugs before :-)