Replies to post #231140 on Biotech Values

[Biowatch]

"Official" COVID infection rates limited by test kit availability

If you don't test all potential infections, or COVID related deaths, you can't "officially" report COVID spread.

Consequently, the leveling off of COVID infection rates may reflect inadequate testing, which not a true containment of the virus.

[biocqr]

Here's a good blueprint for testing...

Iceland’s Aggressive COVID-19 Testing Helped Curb Outbreak

https://www.genengnews.com/news/icelands-aggressive-covid-19-testing-helped-curb-outbreak/

When Tirrell asked Stefánsson if COVID-19 control similar to Iceland’s would be possible in a country the size of the United States, he answered that “it would be even easier” with their incredible talent and resources. It is, Stefánsson asserted, about “the will and desire to do this.”

“The methods that we have used in Iceland, to test widely, to sequence the virus from everyone infected, to bring about this kind of control… these are all methods that we learned from the Americans.”

“You taught us how to do this.” But, “you haven’t been doing this yourself.” And, that, Stefánsson said, “is pretty sad.”

[vinmantoo]

Any model I seen has been a joke. I believe that most modelers are actually retired weathermen and sell-side analysts.

The models started out predicting what would happen if no steps were taken to mitigate coronavirus spread. Serious steps were taken to limit the spread and have done that so the models were adjusted. Now scientists are trying to get a handle on how wide spread the virus is so reasonable estimates of how many tests might be needed are being made. Don't be so dismissive of the difficulties in making the estimates are.