Replies to post #21542 on The Rising Influence of Rising Affluence

[DewDiligence]

But a model from the Imperial College of London estimated up to 2.2 million people could die if no actions were taken to stop transmission in the US.

The I.C.L. model now projects 20K US deaths rather than 2.2M deaths.

Small changes in this model’s parameters make a colossal difference in the model’s projections, which is typical when modeling an exponential process.