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opnion

09/17/03 9:27 PM

#152273 RE: deuce bigalow #152269

Deuce, interesting that you watch the penny stocks for guidance if this run is over. You are probably right when it is over then they correct hard. However I think the russell 2000 is a better guide to this run being over. IF the $rut breaks over 525 then we may be in a new bull market but if it fails there again then we just had a rally within a bear market.
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Bert Sagara

09/17/03 9:58 PM

#152280 RE: deuce bigalow #152269

Deuce,

What are your thoughts on the $CPC on a weekly or monthly basis...hardly bullish at the moment IMO...let's see how the week and month morph before putting on the horns...

Bert

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federal reserves

09/17/03 10:50 PM

#152291 RE: deuce bigalow #152269

Deuce> with all due respect.


Expand the chart.

You will see the SnP is making the biggest bear wedge of all time off of the collapse in 2000!

A big old bear flag off the 2000 highs.


http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=^GSPC&t=5y

Wave 3 down is coming!


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market_watcher

09/18/03 12:11 AM

#152313 RE: deuce bigalow #152269

there just isn't anything right now in my little devious mind that justifies any huge bearish stance.

It's funny that you should say this today. This is an excerpt from an article at thestreet.com. I'm not really into the whole 'contrarian' thing per se, because I think it relies on at least two faulty assumptions, but at times there's a point to it.

Remember, too, that the market is more devious than any one individual can ever imagine being. <g>

"Well, isn't sentiment a funny thing? On Monday, people were advising us to be wary of the market. After Tuesday's rally, I heard the exact opposite, one of the first signs I've seen that sentiment may now be heading toward extreme bullishness.
Sure, this is just an anecdote, but I still want to share it. After Tuesday's rally, I saw a TV interview with a strategist who said she was bullish in March. (These days, we can't seem to find anyone who admits to being bearish in March, yet they all claim they were bullish because everyone else was bearish, but that's another discussion.)

She explained that she's bullish now because there are so few reasons to be bearish. There's no logic to that. If she was a contrarian in March because there was too much bearishness, then if so few reasons to be bearish exist now, wouldn't the contrarian view be bearish?"