Replies to post #147745 on Amarin Corp Plc (AMRN)

[fsulevine]

I am thinking there will be a buyout... But if not, I plan to keep my remaining shares for probably 5 years or so, and that will depend on if they start paying dividends... what I would like to see rather than regular quarterly dividends would be an annual special dividend based on the profits/free cash flow from the prior year.

[jessellivermore]

raf...

With all due respect...The chances are excellent the PPS will be $40-60 this year with or without a buyout...So where is the coin in selling the company if the potential is to reach $200 to 300 in a couple of years...You think you are going to do better by putting your money in a money market account...

":>) JL

[Whalatane]

Raf ...you'll have to save your post

Those 40k shares are currently worth $1 million.
Do I want a 100% chance to get $2-3 million (PPS $40-60) this year or do I want a 90% chance to get $10-15 million (PPS $200-300) in 2-3 years.

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Decisions , decisions ...must be tough being you ...:-)
Kiwi

[Hawk_Driver]

If you read The Undoing Project by Michael Lewis he details the phenomena of Loss Aversion discovered by Israeli psychologists Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman.
It’s the same mechanism that drove people away from AMRN pre-topline and, IMO, created a “risk discount”. People are willing to compromise quite a bit for the sense of security that comes with a sure thing, or illusion thereof. Just look at marriage :-)
I think it’s often a mechanism that facilitates buyouts and keeps terms favorable enough for BP to profit. The x-factor in this instance seems to be the potential for further indications, and the temperament of the Baker Bros... I don’t get the sense that they are men who fear to take an L