Assuming we have the solution (we do), a full buyout is worth 2-3x $6B right now.
This is a war of attrition. CM knows this, BP knows this and even the TA crowd knows this. Cards get turned up by the chip leader in a few weeks. If you want to risk missing being in the showdown with the chip leader, throw your current hand in every day and wait for the chip leader to lose a hand. That way when the chip leader goes all-in on the final winning hand your out of the game. Not a strategy for huge success is it? Solution: Join the chip leader!
False claims - by the time they come to P3 approval stage (if at all) - their o/ s shares would go to 300 or 400 million plus by multiple raises - so the equation will change.
Also if they show efficacy, they will be bought much before at much lower price