ANDI-UTOPYA PPS "POTENTIAL" 20-40 CENTS 2018: Updated and corrected. I upped the target for 2018 as I do NOT believe we will only have INDIA as first market... nothing is certain this is just speculation and potential.
I used O/S 4 BILLION instead of 3B.( 1B increase) and only use the price/sales ratio as we no clue on P/E.
IT IS VERY IMPORTANT TO KNOW THE MARKETS UTOPYA WILL GO AFTER.
LET's CONSIDER INDIA SOLELY FOR NOW AND LET's FORGET RIDICULOUS DOLLARS PRICE PER SHARE HERE or even 50 cents. A CONSERVATIVE BUT RELATIVELY FAIR VIEW IS THE FOLLOWING:
CONSIDER LET'S SAY USD 200.00 PER SMART PHONE ( WE ARE TALKING OF SMART PHONE NEW USERS ONLY NOT CELL PHONES AND SMART PHONES)
CONSIDER ONLY ONE UTOPYA DEVICE
THAT IS A MARKET GROWTH FOR INDIA ONLY, OVER 3 YEARS, OF $ 24 BILLION ( 120 million units x 200 $ )
IF UTOPYA GRABS ONLY 1 PERCENT: THAT IS $240 MILLION IN REVENUES ( ie 1.2 million phones over 3 years or 400k units per year)
IF WE CONSIDER A P/S RATIO OF 10 AS IT IS A GROWING START UP NEW BUSINESS: ( APPLE AND MOTOROLA P/S RATIOS ARE IN 3-4 range !!!)
THAT MEANS A MARKET CAP OF USD 2.4B (10 x $ 240 Millions sales) SO CONSIDER 4 BILLION SHARES outstanding THAT IS A PPS OF 60 CENTS ( 2.4B/4B = USD 0.60) but this is for 3 years. so let s consider one year of sales same ratios: PPS .60/3= 20 CENTS
NOT CONSIDERING ANY OTHER MARKET THAN THE INDIA MARKET !
https://www.statista.com/statistics/274658/forecast-of-mobile-phone-users-in-india/ abstract: The statistic shows the number of mobile phone users in India from 2013 to 2019. For 2017 the number of mobile phone users in India is expected to rise to 730.7 million. In this same year the number of smartphone users in India is predicted to reach 340 million and could reach almost 468 million by 2021.
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