>>Once that bounce is out of the way, we may go into the expected September debacle <<
I noticed you missed the March low because you were waiting for real extremes on the indicators which didn't happen. They never got as extreme as the prior July and October lows.
So, my question, trying for brevity (and failing) is if we get some sort of Sept/Oct plunge do you expect extremes on the indidcators or something more tame like March? How do you decide?