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thefranchise

02/01/16 8:53 AM

#181765 RE: risk on #181764

You can't spent all year trading around the idea of a possible coming crash off those monthly occilators. Just play intras and weeklys.
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USDollar

02/01/16 9:04 AM

#181768 RE: risk on #181764

riskon, many things happens at the same time

It's our job and burden to find and choose what matters

One thing I look in a day like today is last hour of friday.
That hour was bull (sorry, couldn't resist), meaning bullish (white candle), and was strong.

That last period is supposed to be pros so pro money.
Usually pro money do not get trapped, meaning that HOD should be reached pretty soon.

On same page, if that candle is violated is usually not a good sign , meaning opposite forces are stronger.

192.54 was the low of that last hour candle.

A violation is a red (not hollow red, not doji either) candle
so basically a candle that closed bellow open by more than few pennies and bellow that number

That's the first thing to look, that I look

Other than that other things will start happening as we go

Imo since friday was strong today were 2 options, to gap up or flat and go up, and option 2 to go sideways consolidating

This morning it seems a bit strong down for either of these options, and again the weekend call holders got no reward but kick in the balls yet again, that's the thanks they get for suffering weekend decay, a not follow through even after so strong prior day

There is no question in my mind that d50 is the next stop, the problem is to be able to avoid these down moves in the way there


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imiloa

02/01/16 11:16 AM

#181815 RE: risk on #181764

fwiw, SPY 2min Awe saucering back to bullish now
and VXX broke under 24.

looks like the rally could continue higher.