The market gapped down at the open today, jumping completely below support at SPX 2034/2044, and opened at 2012.
It then traded down to SPX 1990 before it had its first notable rally of the day.
A somewhat disturbing way to start the new year.
During the second half of December the market gyrated between a continuing downtrend and a potential new uptrend.
The up/down trend inflection point was at SPX 2044, and the uptrend needed to clear the 2085 pivot.
Today’s action finally cleared the pattern: a continuing downtrend.
It is now clear that SPX 1993 was a complex Int. A, SPX 2082 completed Int. B, and Int. C has been underway, for the past three days, for the Major wave 2 downtrend.
This correction has certainly taken longer than expected.
At today’s low the market could have completed a flat: 1993-2082-1990.
Or it could extend into a zigzag with equal A and C waves: 1993-2082-1971 ?
The short term MACD is already oversold, like it was during Int. ii and Int. iv of Major 1, and Int. A of Major 2
Short term support is at SPX 1990/1993 and 1973 pivot, with resistance at the 2019 pivot and SPX 2044/46.
Short term momentum hit extremely oversold at today’s low.
Best to your trading this volatile market!
* Note - The October 2015 Bottom, resembles 1998 and 2011 Bottoms
LONG TERM: bull market
MEDIUM TERM: Uptrend
* Primary Waves I and II - completed in 2011
* Primary Waves III and IV - completed in 2015
* Primary Wave V should carry the market to All time New Highs.
* Note - The October 2015 Bottom, resembles 1998 and 2011 Bottoms
LONG TERM: bull market
MEDIUM TERM: Uptrend
* Primary Waves I and II - completed in 2011
* Primary Waves III and IV - completed in 2015
* Primary Wave V should carry the market to All time New Highs.
The market gapped down at the open today for the third time in the past four days.
After making a new low for the downtrend at SPX 1986 the market rallied to 2003.
Then in the afternoon it made an even lower low at SPX 1979 after the FOMC minutes.
Despite the steady selling so far this week, SPX down ~2.5%, we see a cluster of support levels just below the market that could end this Major 2 downtrend.
At SPX 1971 Int. C = Int. A, at SPX 1965 Minor C = 0.62 Minor A, and at SPX 1967 Minute C = Minute A.
All three of these levels are nearly within the lower end of the 1973 pivot range (1966-1980).
With short term momentum getting oversold and displaying a positive divergence.
And medium term momentum reaching the typical oversold condition for downtrends in this bull market.
We could be approaching the end to this downtrend soon, with good support in the 1973 pivot range.
Short term support is at the 1973 and 1956 pivots, with resistance at SPX 2003 and the 2019 pivot.
Best to your trading in this volatile market!
* Note - The October 2015 Bottom, resembles 1998 and 2011 Bottoms
LONG TERM: bull market
MEDIUM TERM: Uptrend
* Primary Waves I and II - completed in 2011
* Primary Waves III and IV - completed in 2015
* Primary Wave V should carry the market to All time New Highs.
* Note - The October 2015 Bottom, resembles 1998 and 2011 Bottoms
LONG TERM: bull market
MEDIUM TERM: Uptrend
* Primary Waves I and II - completed in 2011
* Primary Waves III and IV - completed in 2015
* Primary Wave V should carry the market to All time New Highs.