Replies to post #4005 on °¿°

[Myself °¿°]

6,900 LMT for DGAZ @5.85
price target /NG 2.71 http://tos.mx/dB8kTv
DGAZ 6.50+/- http://tos.mx/bNrDQp

[Myself °¿°]

eyeballing /NG up-trendline http://tos.mx/Y7mBq1 for playing up to the /ng 2.916 Gap
desired entry UGAZ +/-2.25 http://tos.mx/mGNnT6
price target UGAZ +/- 2.58

[Myself °¿°]

~in DGAZ @ 5.58

[Myself °¿°]

~out DGAZ @ 5.64

[Myself °¿°]

ext-limit-order-for UGAZ @2.06

[Myself °¿°]

replaced_order-ext-limit-order-for UGAZ @2.05

[Myself °¿°]

~in UGAZ @2.05

[Myself °¿°]

~out UGAZ @2.09... I'll do it again if given the chance

[Myself °¿°]

wow that's coming down a bit to quick... I think I'll wait until it opens 6:30 pst:)

[Myself °¿°]

looking at /ng 2.744 http://tos.mx/VX4edQ

[Myself °¿°]

looking@ /ng 2.736 http://tos.mx/ecNGUO ...leaving the 2.706 gap behind
500sma on the 4hr chart for a good bounce ...days

[Myself °¿°]

limit-order-for- UGAZ @2.02 ...if I can get it

[Myself °¿°]

come on now... wild swings, let's go!

[Myself °¿°]

~In DGAZ @5.87 http://tos.mx/g9tbPF

[Myself °¿°]

~Out DGAZ @5.91 http://tos.mx/IVllLa

[Myself °¿°]

limit-order-for UGAZ @ 2.02

[Myself °¿°]

~in UGAZ @2.02

[Myself °¿°]

day-limit-order-to-sell- UGAZ @ 2.04 ...not happy about this am's price action.

[Myself °¿°]

Forced it out @2.02 ...missed a +$2.5k gain
rules

[Myself °¿°]

eyeballing UGAZ 1.94-1.95 http://tos.mx/qAi7kv

[Myself °¿°]

eyeballing /NG 2.70 http://tos.mx/rcg1CP

[Myself °¿°]

1/2 position order for DGAZ @5.55

[Myself °¿°]

I tapped out of DGAZ @ 5.70 good day

[Myself °¿°]

/NG 2.784 gap filled http://tos.mx/zoJVdx

[Myself °¿°]

ext-limit-order-for- DGAZ @ 5.88 for a 1/2 position

[Myself °¿°]

missed my dgaz 5.88 order by minutes... ameritrade ext trading 8am-8pm est

[Myself °¿°]

/NG printing under the 0.15 coefficient channel line http://tos.mx/J6UEj7 and the daily lower BBand is also pointing down.

Oil prints a new recent low http://tos.mx/FDV2k8

[Myself °¿°]

/ng 2.706 gap should be UGAZ 1.87

[Myself °¿°]

day-limit-order-for /ng 2.706 gap = UGAZ 1.87 =1/2 position

[Myself °¿°]

~In 1/2 position of UGAZ @1.87 /ng 2.706-gap-filled http://tos.mx/iHCGjV

[Myself °¿°]

~out UGAZ @1.89

[Myself °¿°]

EXT-limit-order-for-a-1/2-position DGAZ @ 6.11
I believe both sides can be played today...projections
upside;
/ng 2.753
UGAZ 1.97
DGAZ 6.12
Downside;
/ng lower Bband = 2.693 or lower * 2.665 is a screaming intraday buy
UGAZ 1.75 or Lower *
DGAZ 6.50 or higher *

I would like to short natgas via 1/2 position DGAZ 6.12 hold, and start a 1/2 positions long UGAZ 1.75 as today slides until near end of futuers trading 2:00est... dump the short and throw it all long for the 2nd 1/2
http://tos.mx/fld6qS

[Myself °¿°]

~In 1/2-position DGAZ @ 6.11

[Myself °¿°]

~Out DGAZ I tapped out @6.30 ...I just can't ignore that kind of gain :)

[Myself °¿°]

EDIT: I'd like to get back in DGAZ low 6.20's http://tos.mx/095IXQ
/ng http://tos.mx/QqyMiV

[Myself °¿°]

~Back in DGAZ @ 6.23

[Myself °¿°]

~out DGAZ @ 6.30 tapped out ... http://tos.mx/EZWdkf not a directional call

[Myself °¿°]

limit-order-for-1/2-position-of UGAZ @ 1.85

[Myself °¿°]

~In-1/2-position UGAZ @ 1.85 /ng http://tos.mx/IXEJNL UGAZ http://tos.mx/H1ChOa

[Myself °¿°]

~Tapped out of UGAZ @ 1.84

[Myself °¿°]

Thurs /ng UGAZ DGAZ
Id like to see DGAZ @ 6.75 http://tos.mx/OvrI40
to go long UGAZ for a swing day-trade http://tos.mx/rLdFgL
verify 3rd touch of the bottom rung of this up channel "currently" 2.657 http://tos.mx/rLdFgL
bounce or -del this channel

[Myself °¿°]

~in 1/2 position UGAZ @ 1.77

[Myself °¿°]

~out UGAZ@ 1.87

[Myself °¿°]

/NG recent decline channel http://tos.mx/RjznVx

[Myself °¿°]

Oil finds resistance again... "make-or-break-turn-of-the-year" price. "yellow"
5 min http://tos.mx/upVxMx
Daily http://tos.mx/Fat2sl

[Myself °¿°]

natgas thoughts...
I would like to see this sort of price action over sma's and upper Bband before natgas's decline is done.

DGAZ Daily http://tos.mx/dJDhvW
/NG Daily http://tos.mx/SfUelB

I would also like to see Oil fill the 49.10 Gap http://tos.mx/YPBQHY
see: Oil finds resistance again... http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=115306385

[Myself °¿°]

/ng ta & UGAZ DGAZ thoughts
/ng futures are Up. http://tos.mx/S6zQDi

I'm looking to short natgas strength in the am, hopefully in premarket http://tos.mx/2VtOdJ alerts set on drawings.
DGAZ 5.60 or lower http://tos.mx/yCqU4m and see it @ 6.90 or so into the week.

I'd like to see UGAZ with a 2.15+/- high http://tos.mx/JqDnSP and @ 1.67 or lower sometime this week for a substantial rise... I would even consider holding overnight if I could get UGAZ that low or lower

[Myself °¿°]

eyeballing DGAZ @ 5.41-2 15min chart, looking for a volume spike

[Myself °¿°]

day-limit-order-for-a-1/2-position-in DGAZ @ 5.41

[Myself °¿°]

~In 1/2-position-in DGAZ @ 5.41

[Myself °¿°]

~out DGAZ @5.42 frustrated. Should have taken the +550gains

[Myself °¿°]

~In DGAZ @ 5.16

[Myself °¿°]

~Out DGAZ @ 5.20

[Myself °¿°]

~In DGAZ @ 5.16

[Myself °¿°]

~Out DGAZ @ 5.18

[Myself °¿°]

DGAZ http://tos.mx/QkJXz0

[Myself °¿°]

Wanting-to-short NATGAS @ 2.999-3.08 today. /NG Daily http://tos.mx/YGzF8I

[Myself °¿°]

~In UGAZ @ 2.21

[Myself °¿°]

~Out UGAZ @ 2.23

[Myself °¿°]

~in UGAZ 2.16 ~out UGAZ 2.18 ...that was fast

[Myself °¿°]

done-for-the-day http://tos.mx/phoMee Looking to short streangth tomorrow.

[Myself °¿°]

/ng friday 8:15est printscreen... 15min chart http://tos.mx/5heAuH

[Myself °¿°]

~In UGAZ @ 2.15

[Myself °¿°]

~stopped out UGAZ @ 2.15

[Myself °¿°]

Looking for /ng next invisible bounce... http://tos.mx/ZXCRDM Last Monday's premarket low looks interesting 2.287, leaving that 2.767 gap temporarily behind

[Myself °¿°]

~In UGAZ @ 2.12

[Myself °¿°]

~Tapped out of UGAZ @ 2.12

[Myself °¿°]

/ng 2.987 resistance http://tos.mx/2qBnY0

[Myself °¿°]

~In UGAZ @2.19

[Myself °¿°]

~Out UGAZ @2.22

[Myself °¿°]

~In DGAZ @5.12 ...is currently getting run over

[Myself °¿°]

~Out DGAZ @5.22

[Myself °¿°]

~In UGAZ @2.18

[Myself °¿°]

~Out UGAZ @2.20

[Myself °¿°]

/ng 2.767 Gap in play http://tos.mx/mP8Y1t show extended hrs http://tos.mx/d9OdxR

[Myself °¿°]

Would like to get DGAZ +/- 5.64... /ng 30min Bband http://tos.mx/jITtBb

[Myself °¿°]

limit-order-for DGAZ @5.63

[Myself °¿°]

DGAZ @5.63 prob not gonna happen. I noticed Ameritrade was not ticking and was reconnecting. I had to shut it down and restart it.
I didn't make a limit order for 5.64 because I wanted to watch /ng volume.
While ameritrade was down DGAZ hit my mark twice and I'm really pissed off about it.

[Myself °¿°]

~In DGAZ @ 5.57

[Myself °¿°]

~Out DGAZ @ 5.60

[Myself °¿°]

~in UGAZ @2.11

[Myself °¿°]

although UGAZ 2.19 is possible today... I'll-be-out!@2.14 cmon~bounce

[Myself °¿°]

~out UGAZ @ 2.14

[Myself °¿°]

eyeballing DGAZ @ 5.26 +/- small pennies :)

[Myself °¿°]

eyeballing UGAZ @ 2.07

[Myself °¿°]

eyeballing /ng, ugaz & dgaz targets...

/NG 2.806-2.921
UGAZ @2.02-2.28
DGAZ @5.02-5.66

[Myself °¿°]

limit-order-for UGAZ @2.01

[Myself °¿°]

I killed the UGAZ order

[Myself °¿°]

limit-order-for-a-scalp UGAZ @1.91

[Myself °¿°]

EDITED_ORDER limit-order-for-a-scalp UGAZ @1.90

[Myself °¿°]

~In UGAZ @ 1.90

[Myself °¿°]

I-will-be-out-@1.93 & I'll-add-@+/-1.83-.86 if I must UGAZ

[Myself °¿°]

/NG daily http://tos.mx/5oBW5C

[Myself °¿°]

~Added UGAZ @1.84 average 1.87

[Myself °¿°]

technically not good for my position http://tos.mx/Axhb02 I really thought it would bounce

[Myself °¿°]

okay, here is my bounce... /NG is about to head-butt the 2.767 Gap http://tos.mx/NnzlJ6
I will be taking gains and considering a short

[Myself °¿°]

/ng tagged the 2.767 Gap. I-can't-trade-out-until-5am-pst
GLtrading

[Myself °¿°]

~out UGAZ @ 1.95 ...fantastic!

[Myself °¿°]

limit-order-for-1/2-position @ DGAZ 5.69 "scalp"

[Myself °¿°]

I missed the short scalp by sec's...now I have worry about where-if-when to cancel the 5.69 DGAZ order

[Myself °¿°]

~In 1/2 position UGAZ @ 1.89

[Myself °¿°]

~added UGAZ @ 1.86 average now 1.8750

[Myself °¿°]

limit order out UGAZ @ 1.90

[Myself °¿°]

pulled my sell... will slap the bid out on high /ng volume

[Myself °¿°]

~Tapped out UGAZ 1.85 ...still have weekend gains-0f... +857 but had 1,690 ugh!

[Myself °¿°]

EDIT:-NG/ 2.59Gap Looms. T Boone Pickens channel is broke....
http://tos.mx/IVDuDY
rocket ride out is the only thing that will save it... but I believe it would only be temporary

[Myself °¿°]

EDIT:EDIT:.On the other hand... Oil /CL gap closed http://tos.mx/R8TLKY
UWTI spike down from here after obama speach
much lower than 1.33 http://tos.mx/yE2Vyi
and it would need to bounce... end of day

[Myself °¿°]

How about the low /cl 44.90's? http://tos.mx/vnPhoq

[Myself °¿°]

missed dgaz by sec's uncomfortable entry ugaz .../ng daily chart turn around but not so sure how long the legs are here

[Myself °¿°]

UGAZ 2.04 possible today. I'm looking @DGAZ 5.55... as possible entry for me.
I'd like to see decisive /ng volume spike during DGAZ 5.55 and UGAZ 2.04

[Myself °¿°]

~In @DGAZ 5.55

[Myself °¿°]

c'mon gravity

[Myself °¿°]

~out DGAZ @5.57... gonna try for a better position

[Myself °¿°]

c'mon let me back in.. UGH!

[Myself °¿°]

I'm gettin pretty tired of slapping a bid or ask and finding I'm a 1/2 sec late leaving my order hanging to be canceled so I can re-slap it.

[Myself °¿°]

EDIT: although /ng 2.866 is possible http://tos.mx/CaVFzP we could have a down channel forming making dgaz a buy here.

possible today
/NG 2.866
UGAZ 2.15
DGAZ 5.23

[Myself °¿°]

edit: I'm waiting for /ng 2.866+ before 2:15est to take a short this time...
...with confirming volume
I'm looking for a comfortable DGAZ 5.20 or lower entry
...trying not to enter to soon and not shake myself out of a perfectly good position

I want to see ugaz print 2.15+ during regular trading hrs

[Myself °¿°]

~in UGAZ @2.07... exit, probably 2.13 "scalp"

[Myself °¿°]

~out UGAZ @2.09 scalped +600. I-slapped-the-bid-out-when-I-saw /ng 1000-volume

[Myself °¿°]

~in UGAZ @2.05 ...order to sell @2.07

[Myself °¿°]

canceled-order-to-sell @2.07 ...looking for that eod run

[Myself °¿°]

no eod run... ugh

[Myself °¿°]

/NG ...
On 7/19/15 ng/ tested and pierced the bottom rung (2.648+/-) of the big up channel. Because it pierced it, I'm supposed to throw that channel away but I didn't because of the way it blasted off from there. http://tos.mx/bpmLwZ It never did test the third rung. It fell back to the bottom rung, closing under it on 7-31-15 ~ 8-3-15 and bounced for 3 days
This up channel should be thrown out but this am it tested that lower rung and bounced.

Like I said in a previous post... I don't know how long the legs are on this... if any.
I'd like to see the top rung of the of the small down channel (orange) tested http://tos.mx/dTxezc and close over it simply to keep us guessing...
...then seriously start looking short.

[Myself °¿°]

down 3k... thats why I don't like holding this crap overnight

[Myself °¿°]

~limit to sell UGAZ @ 2.07 hard way to make 600 bucks

[Myself °¿°]

~out UGAZ @ 2.07

[Myself °¿°]

/CL Oil fwiw... http://tos.mx/R50AhE tagged the (gap up open of 44.22) (from 3/18/15) and could possibly be a tradable bounce point.

UWTI @ 1.25 was/is the buy

Id like to but I just dont trust it

[Myself °¿°]

eyeballing /NG @2.857,+ UGAZ @2.12, DGAZ@ 5.26+/- http://tos.mx/JOH0jU

[Myself °¿°]

~In DGAZ @5.37 1/2 position

[Myself °¿°]

~Out DGAZ @5.47

[Myself °¿°]

~In UGAZ @2.03 1/4 position

[Myself °¿°]

~added more ugaz for this scalp. Total 3/4 position. Just looking for pennies

[Myself °¿°]

trying to get out of UGAZ @2.05

[Myself °¿°]

~Out UGAZ @2.05

[Myself °¿°]

~back In DGAZ @5.37 1/2 position

[Myself °¿°]

~Out DGAZ @5.38 didn't like how I was run over

[Myself °¿°]

On the outside chance /NG hits 2.903...
UGAZ will be 2.24
...I'll be jumping into DGAZ @4.99

[Myself °¿°]

limit-order-for-1/2-position-in DGAZ @4.99

[Myself °¿°]

~In 1/2-position-in DGAZ @4.99

[Myself °¿°]

/NG interesting possibility... http://tos.mx/5Jgieb
This is a Daily chart
I've annotated the (upper WEEKLY Bollinger Band) currently 3.009 to this (DAILY chart)
The Daily 100sma = 3.012


A /ng +2% move from the previous close = 2.98962
That would be UGAZ +or- 2.42
and DGAZ +or- 4.61

[Myself °¿°]

~In UGAZ @2.01 for a scalp

[Myself °¿°]

limit sell UGAZ @2.02 for 300 bucks

[Myself °¿°]

~Out UGAZ 1,910-filled-of-30k-UGAZ @2.02 I-tapped-out-remainder-@2.01

[Myself °¿°]

ext-limit-order-for-1/2-position-in UGAZ @1.88

[Myself °¿°]

~In 1/2-position UGAZ @1.88

[Myself °¿°]

~Out UGAZ @1.90 Simple-scalp. This-is-not-a-directional-call.

[Myself °¿°]

Gun-to-my-head,forced-to-guess UGAZ low-today-will-be-1.84-1.83

[Myself °¿°]

RE: this post ~In-1/2-position DGAZ @5.86 EDIT:add-chart-since-trade http://tos.mx/LW6TpQ
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=116289865

I'm bloging my ugaz dgaz trades to this (chart set) post $NATGAS... (+x3)UGAZ (-x3)DGAZ
...so I might learn from my trading

I linked this mornings DGAZ posts as a reply to the wrong post and I want it to show up when I click (replies)
That trade should have been linked to this post
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=114461447

This is the replies link http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/replies.aspx?msg=114461447

[Myself °¿°]

EDIT this was my premarket trade and a visual of why I took it.
1/2 position was $30k divided by DGAZ price 5.86= 5,119 shares
out @6.08 (Just under a 6% move from previous close) =$1,126.90 gain

[Myself °¿°]

~In-1/2-position DGAZ @5.82

[Myself °¿°]

asking out DGAZ @5.85 ...thinking /ng should have tanked by now

[Myself °¿°]

~out DGAZ @5.85 Ugh! My impatience. +1676 for the week so far. Oh well, a gain is better than being turned upside down in a heartbeat. I'm not going to chase it and I will take an intraday stab at /ng providing it regains the intrady high... But it's possible for /ng @2.759 TODAY and is why I only took a 1/2 position in premarket.

GLtrading

[Myself °¿°]

1/2 position-limit-order-for DGAZ @5.90 scalp

[Myself °¿°]

ran from me. Timing's off 2:30. I may need to cancel this order

[Myself °¿°]

1/2 position-limit-order-for DGAZ @5.90 scalp

[Myself °¿°]

bounce /ng... running out of pre-announcement time to scalp pennies
I will have to cancel soon... I'm not getting run over

[Myself °¿°]

canceled DGAZ order... Im not getting run over

[Myself °¿°]

~In UGAZ @1.90

[Myself °¿°]

edit~out UGAZ @1.91 +300/penny-weekly-goal-of-$2k met!

This weeks actual total is 1976.90... close enough:)

[Myself °¿°]

by chance: /ng makes a relief bounce Monday...
DGAZ points of inetrest: 5.99 & 5.80
*5.75 "would be perfect and optimum for a one day move"
GLtrading

[Myself °¿°]

eyeballing DGAZ 6.36 for an intraday scalp

[Myself °¿°]

Interestingly enough for a continued look at another DGAZ entry...
After China's attempt to prop up the market by cutting interest rates, /ng big boys premarket contract volume didn't show itself like I thought it would. Where is the short covering VOLUME.
It would be prudent to watch the /ng futures open {price action Vs volume}
Im still looking to the short side.

GLtrading

[Myself °¿°]

~in 1/2 position of UGAZ @6.34

[Myself °¿°]

~out 1/2 position of DGAZ @6.42

[Myself °¿°]

I set a 1/2 position order for DGAZ @ 5.83
We stayed at a lodge near mt rainer last night and it's almost checkout time.
We have a 45-50min drive home and I didn't want to miss this entry...
It probably won't fill but I'll take it if it does.
I should be home before futures close rugular hrs trading @11:30pst here /2:30est
:)L8r

GLtrading

[Myself °¿°]

considering a pre-inventory UGAZ scalp... will be out before the report
eyeballing @1.67 if I can tap in

[Myself °¿°]

come-on-fill-the-other-half of my 1/2 order and bounce to 1.71

[Myself °¿°]

104.oo/ugaz penny with what was filled... a bit more than 1/2 my order is still waiting to fill.
What a drag. Now I'll have to kill it before the report

[Myself °¿°]

tapped out of @ UGAZ 1.69 and killed my remaining order 212-30 bucks in commission is a gain but sucks.
Im not getting trapped when they fill my order on the way down.
I dont like to lose

[Myself °¿°]

there's that 1.71 crap... MM's should have filled my order. bone heads

[Myself °¿°]

~In 1/2 order of DGAZ @6.27

[Myself °¿°]

~out DGAZ @6.31

[Myself °¿°]

limit order for 1/2 oder of DGAZ @6.42

[Myself °¿°]

~In DGAZ @6.42

[Myself °¿°]

~added-another-1/2-order+ DGAZ @6.05 ugh! cost-avg-now-$6.2181818

[Myself °¿°]

eyeballing DGAZ 6.27 exit... I'm ready to tap out anywhere at this point.
...just too much for this scalpers heart to handle.
This is why I don't like holding these overnight

[Myself °¿°]

OIL is on an unreal tear http://tos.mx/4fEFAx

[Myself °¿°]

~out dgaz @ 6.03 This was my 1st GAZ loss... Im not holding this over the weekend and I shouldn't have held it overnight.
I had a chance to tap out at break even twice and I didn't.


1,770 lost on this trade
1,060 gains 3 previous trades this week
------
710 loss this week

[Myself °¿°]

If I play both sides of the GAZ's...
by reading and watching the /NG charts tick.
Applying Technical Analysys to /NG charts.
Setting alerts to my TA drawings.
Watching /NG volume Vs my TA.

I'll not be: reading/posting perma~bulls/perma~bears thoughts/threads

GLtrading

[Myself °¿°]

/ng skeleton crew volume makes scalping tough.

[Myself °¿°]

Confidence lost but I'll be back. I couldn't pull the trigger on dgaz 6.03 this am.

[Myself °¿°]

ext-lmt-order-for-1/2-position-of DGAZ @6.34

[Myself °¿°]

ext-lmt-order-for-1/2-position-of UGAZ @1.59

[Myself °¿°]

~In-a-1/2-position-of DGAZ @6.34

[Myself °¿°]

limit-to-sell-DGAZ @6.44 edit I fat fingered that trade out and somehow left 50 shares still in the mix ugh!

[Myself °¿°]

~out 5,700 of 5,750 Dgaz @6.44

[Myself °¿°]

I-put-those-remaing-50-fat-finger-shares-of DGAZ up-for-sell @6.54

[Myself °¿°]

getn L8... ComeOnMove!

[Myself °¿°]

~Out-remaing-50-fat-finger-shares-of DGAZ up-for-sell @6.53 I-hub was down when I forced it

[Myself °¿°]

I don't want the UGAZ oder... it's2L8
finger on the (cancel UGAZ buy) button

[Myself °¿°]

/ng 2.59 gap is very possible today... http://tos.mx/dAeLrp
...check your daily lower Bband

[Myself °¿°]

/ng @2.59gap= ugaz @1.48+/-.01 & greater-than dgaz 6.99

[Myself °¿°]

EDIT:~The problem I have with standing in front of the preinventory locomotive report is just that....
Its a train that can run you over.
Look at the way /ng reacted after last weeks build.

Look at the way /cl reacted yesterday and how its reacting today (light sweet crude) http://tos.mx/3xpmMM
after yesterdays report http://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/

[Myself °¿°]

~In 1/2 position of DGAZ @6.35

[Myself °¿°]

trying to get out of DGAZ @6.39 before the report... I might just cancle the sell order

[Myself °¿°]

~0ut DGAZ @6.40

[Myself °¿°]

~In 1/2 position of DGAZ @6.33... ran over me

[Myself °¿°]

~Added-another-1/2-position-of DGAZ @6.10 avg=6.21 ugh!

[Myself °¿°]

sloppy entries... jumping the volume gun.

[Myself °¿°]

yes its painful being stubborn

[Myself °¿°]

I-must-be-crazy-to-hold-this-overnight

[Myself °¿°]

limit-to-sell DGAZ @6.28 I may have to change this and just tap out.
little sleep... too much pain yesterday

[Myself °¿°]

~Out DGAZ @6.27

[Myself °¿°]

~In 1/2 position-of ugaz @1.67. Limit-order-out ugaz @1.70

[Myself °¿°]

canceled ugaz 1.70 limit out order... getting ready to tap out on any gains if not break even and lose my ante
watching /ng volume

[Myself °¿°]

limit-order-out-of ugaz @1.67... I was too slow to tap out

[Myself °¿°]

another 1/2 order bid for ugaz @1.59

[Myself °¿°]

After RS: ugaz@1.67X5= ugaz @8.35 break even.

[Myself °¿°]

~Out UGAZ @ 8.56

[Myself °¿°]

*on 9/2/15-ext hrs & 9/3/15-premarket ugaz tagged 1.59--->
(1.59 burn a penny "decay") = (1.58) x (5) "rs" = (current UGAZ @7.90)
/ng tagged 2.632 in ext hrs trading on 9/2/15

*But, on 8/24/15 /ng made a lower mark than that during premarket trading of 2.624

*Furthermore, a /ng 2% drop from todays close would = 2.62346 or 2.623/2.624

*If, /ng retests 8/24/15 ext hrs low of 6.24 UGAZ will be lower than 7.90

~ /ng hourly chart showing ext & premarket http://tos.mx/lDl24v

[Myself °¿°]

/ng what a flat liner... MOVE^ so-I-can-short-you

[Myself °¿°]

I'm having a hard time translating this skeleton crew volume... I wish the big boys would get back from the Hamptons

[Myself °¿°]

aproaching engulfing candle open (A) 8-17-15 http://tos.mx/CPlFOx

[Myself °¿°]

~In a cautious 1/2 order of DGAZ @5.82

[Myself °¿°]

~stopped out @ 5.67 #$%^&*()_+

[Myself °¿°]

~In 1/2 position UGAZ @8.40

[Myself °¿°]

U.S. Natural Gas Storage Previous/Forecast...

 Latest Release   Actual   Forecast   Previous 
 Sep 10, 2015     68B      75B        94B

 
 Release Date	Time	Actual	Forecast	Previous	 
 Sep 17, 2015	10:30	  ?	73B	        68B

http://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/natural-gas-storage-386

[Myself °¿°]

Forcast=Actual@73B fed rate decision pending...

http://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/natural-gas-storage-386

http://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

[Myself °¿°]

interesting spike and volume 1min /NG chart http://tos.mx/M0EJ2c
inventory report action

[Myself °¿°]

No change: Switzerland Interest Rate Decision @ -0.75%...
http://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/interest-rate-decision-169

[Myself °¿°]

~In 1/4-position-of DGAZ @6.3351 still-have UGAZ 1/2-position

[Myself °¿°]

~Out DGAZ @6.49 for a 522 gain

[Myself °¿°]

~added a 1/4 position to UGAZ @7.84 UGAZ_3/4_position_cost_avg=8.2085496

[Myself °¿°]

Natural Gas Rig Count...

 This Week   Wk-Wk Change   Last Week 
    842	         -6	       848

http://gis.bakerhughesdirect.com/Reports/StandardReport.aspx

[Myself °¿°]

~In-1/4-position-of-DGAZ-@6.97 Still-have UGAZ 3/4-position_cost_avg=8.2085496

[Myself °¿°]

Day_limit_order_to_sell_my_1/4-position-of-6.97-DGAZ-hedge@7.08_for_repositioning

[Myself °¿°]

UPDATE 1-China to carve out new oil, gas pipeline firm from state oil giants-China Securities Journal
Thu Sep 24, 2015 5:47am IST
http://in.reuters.com/article/2015/09/24/china-oil-soereform-idINL4N11T56320150924

(Reuters) - China plans to create a new crude oil and liquefied natural gas pipeline transportation company by stripping these operations out from its three largest oil firms, the state-backed China Securities Journal reported on Thursday.

The move is aimed at reducing such firms' monopoly in the oil and gas market and improving competition, the newspaper reported without saying where it had obtained the information from.

The newspaper said that the plan had been set, and was now being studied and implemented in steps. China's oil industry is dominated by state players China National Offshore Oil Corp , China National Petroleum Corp (CNPC) and Sinopec Group, parent of Sinopec Corp.

The move will be in line with Beijing's plans to allow domestic private investors greater access to its energy sector, which has enjoyed massive expansion over the last two decades but has become a breeding ground for corruption.

CNPC's PetroChina arm, for example, controls more than 80 percent of China's natural gas grid.

On Sept. 16, Beijing unveiled details of how it planned to carry out the biggest overhaul of its sprawling and underperforming state-owned enterprise (SOE) sector since the late 1990s. It named oil and gas as a sector that could be suitable for limited non-state investment.

Sinopec has already been a testing ground for such reforms. In September, it sold 30 percent of its retail business to 25 big financial firms for $17.5 billion. (Reporting by Brenda Goh and Chen Yixin; Editing by Michael Perry and Ed Davies)

[Myself °¿°]

LOL-coffee edit: I wish the bigboys would take /ng down to the 2.551 before the inventory report
so I can reverse the hedge and make my last add long to UGAZ
Probably not going to happen.

frustrating watching all the action taking place before 5:00am pst

td ameritrade limits my trading from 5am to 5pm pst

[Myself °¿°]

limit to sell DGAZ @7.17

[Myself °¿°]

~Out DGAZ @7.17 476 gain

[Myself °¿°]

~Last add to UGAZ @7.00 cost_avg=7.8466011 Long-way-to-go-for-break-even

[Myself °¿°]

/ng currently trading over Sunday's high http://tos.mx/Wgzy8D 2.585 red line in chart
Nice bounce today.
...should make an excellent green reversal daily candle

[Myself °¿°]

International Financial Institutions Prepare $1Billion Gas Financing for Ukraine
Funding package would help country and Europe avoid gas shortages over winter
Funding package would help country and Europe avoid gas shortages over winter
Updated Sept. 24, 2015 11:03 a.m. ET

MORE ---> http://www.wsj.com/articles/international-financial-institutions-prepare-1-billion-gas-financing-for-ukraine-1443100258

Pressure gauges on gas pipes at the Dashava underground gas-storage facility operated a unit of Naftogaz Ukrainy, in Striy, Lviv region, Ukraine, on Thursday, May 28, 2015. Next month, Naftogaz aims to reach a new deal with Russia to cover the coming winter season, its Chief Executive Officer Andriy Kobolyev said May 19. Photographer: Vincent Mundy/Bloomberg PHOTO: BLOOMBERG NEWS

[Myself °¿°]

Investors Lose Gas Pipeline Fight With Norway
Oslo court upholds government’s decision to slash tariffs by up to 90% for transporting natural gas
Updated Sept. 25, 2015 8:43 a.m. ET
The Oseberg oil platform in the Norwegian sea. An Oslo court on Friday upheld the Norwegian government’s 2013 decision to slash tariffs by as much as 90% for transporting natural gas on the Gassled pipeline that hooks up North Sea oil-and- gas fields to terminals around Europe. PHOTO: ASSOCIATED PRESS
More---> http://www.wsj.com/articles/norway-wins-court-case-against-allianz-cppib-and-other-investors-in-gassled-pipeline-dispute-1443170794

[Myself °¿°]

I was .28 away from break even yesterday. I should have taken the loss when
I saw the million+shares @7.53 randomly stacking on the trade ladder.
...a lesson I will not forget.

I hate holding this shhhh-crap overnight ugh!

[Myself °¿°]

NG/ printed_as_high_as_2.693_and_is_currently_printing_2.673

[Myself °¿°]

Thinkorswim correct /NG price/ticker symbol...

You can view the different contracts by going to Trade > All Products > enter /NG > choose All from the dropdown that says Active Only. the symbol for october is /NGV5 this ticker is good for one more day

5min + premarket chart http://tos.mx/uKN4l9

[Myself °¿°]

~Too much pain! I dumped 1/2 my position: details...
That was too much pain... I simply had enough and I'm very unsure what will happen tomorrow.
~Out 1/2 of my UGAZ position @6.8111
break even on my existing 1/2 position is now 7.332


My previous position/s http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=117223673
Previous cost avg was 7.846

[Myself °¿°]

ComeOnBounceSoIcanShortTheCrapOutOfYou!

[Myself °¿°]

U.S. Natural Gas Storage/inventory forcast...

 Release Date	Time	Actual	Forecast	Previous	 
 Oct 01, 2015	10:30	 ???	100B	        106B	 
 Sep 24, 2015	10:30	106B	96B	        73B

http://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/natural-gas-storage-386

[Myself °¿°]

Stockcharts $NATGAS April 13 low...

April 13 low 2.475





weekly

[Myself °¿°]

~added UGAZ 5.95 cost avg 6.586

[Myself °¿°]

/ng screenshot w/stockcharts April low alert/warning line...

[Myself °¿°]

Come on Technical Analysis ...WORK FOR ME!

[Myself °¿°]

It isn't exactly a barn burner is it... Odd_for_a_Thursday

[Myself °¿°]

~I'm out... ALL OUT!!!

[Myself °¿°]

Thinkorswim's /NG april_low with stockcharts.com's_April_low...
This is a failed double bottom or the biggest intraday shake out ever
*in chart: Stockchart.com's $NATGAS chart April 13th low = 2.475 (yellow line)
see post http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=117387234

*in chart: Thinkorswim's /NG chart April 27th low = 2.443 (green Line)
Im sure this has to do with end of month contract rollover issues from Thinkorswims data
Regardless: Failed Double Bottom

[Myself °¿°]

$natgas lower weekly Bband getting pummeled

[Myself °¿°]

http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=117387234

This is what I believe to be a relief bounce and the /ng price to close over is 2.475 $NATGAS april low
I don't think it will and should resume its downtrend

I'm eyeballing a DGAS @8.01 entry
DGAZ 8.01 is a -6% move from the previous close and I would like to see /ng heavy contract volume and a close under 2.475 to stay long DGAZ overnight.
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=117402076

[Myself °¿°]

Same as yesterday but slightly higher. I'd like* to see...
*/ng @2.501
ugaz @6.16
So I can buy *DGAZ @7.94-8.00
and would like to see /ng close under 2.475 again to stay long dgaz
*see yesterday's post

[Myself °¿°]

interestingly enough, /ng holds +1% after 8:00amEST when it sold off before 8:00 yesterday and closed green for the day.
...sure makes it tough to take a short position http://tos.mx/ldYgvq

[Myself °¿°]

Analysts: U.S. Natural-Gas Inventories Rose on Par With Five-Year Average
Storage levels are expected to grow by 98 billion cubic feet of gas during the week ended Oct. 2
By TIMOTHY PUKO
Oct. 7, 2015 11:53 a.m. ET
Analysts expect government data scheduled for release Thursday to show natural-gas inventories last week rose about on par with their five-year average increase for that time of the year.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration is expected to report that storage levels grew by 98 billion cubic feet of gas during the week ended Oct. 2, according to the average forecast of 17 analysts and traders surveyed by The Wall Street Journal.

The EIA is scheduled to release its storage data for the week on Thursday at 10:30 a.m. EDT.

For the Oct. 2 week, the median estimate is for an addition of 98 bcf. Estimates range from an addition of 87 bcf to an addition of 102 bcf.

The estimate for last week compares to 106 bcf added to storage for the same week last year and the 92-bcf five-year average addition for that week.

If the storage estimate is correct, inventories as of Oct. 2 totaled 3.6 trillion cubic feet, 14% above levels from a year ago and 4.5% above the five-year average for the same week.

Write to Timothy Puko at [e-mail]
http://www.wsj.com/articles/analysts-u-s-natural-gas-inventories-rose-on-par-with-five-year-average-1444233220

[Myself °¿°]

hmm /ng 15min and daily charts http://tos.mx/Iz2IR3 http://tos.mx/2n97v8

[Myself °¿°]

U.S. Natural Gas Storage/Forecast...

 Release Date	Time	Actual	Forecast	Previous	 
 Oct 08, 2015	10:30	??B 	98B	        98B	 
 Oct 01, 2015	10:30	98B	100B	        106B	 
 Sep 24, 2015	10:30	106B	96B	        73B	 
 Sep 17, 2015	10:30	73B	73B	        68B	 
 Sep 10, 2015	10:30	68B	75B	        94B	 
 Sep 03, 2015	10:30	94B	88B	        69B

http://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/natural-gas-storage-386

[Myself °¿°]

~in UGAZ @6.18 for a scalp. stopSet@6.19

[Myself °¿°]

News link: Natural-Gas Prices Edge Higher
Recent rally seen limited by weakened hopes for demand
By TIMOTHY PUKO
Oct. 13, 2015 11:06 a.m. ET

Natural gas is making small additions to recent gains, but weakened hopes for demand are limiting the rally.

Prices for the front-month November contract gained 0.2 cent, or 0.1%, to $2.537 a million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Gas has now made gains in seven out of eight sessions, but only gained 4.3% over that time, which started after gas set a new three-year low.

Some colder temperatures in weather forecasts fed hope on Monday that there could be a burst of heating demand coming soon. But forecasts are still showing largely normal to above-normal temperatures for the next two weeks. At this time of year that weather usually makes it too warm for heating demand but too cool to drive demand for natural gas-fired power to fuel air conditioners.

“We’re really doing nothing,” said Dean Hazelcorn, trader at the brokerage Coquest Inc. in Dallas. “This is the same old same old. These rallies need to be sold in the near term.”

Physical gas for next-day delivery at the Henry Hub in Louisiana last traded at $2.46/mmBtu, compared with Monday’s range of $2.43-$2.44. Cash prices at the Transco Z6 hub in New York last traded at $2.40/mmBtu, compared with Monday’s range of $2.38 to $2.43.

Write to Timothy Puko at [e-mail]
http://www.wsj.com/articles/natural-gas-prices-edge-higher-1444748773

[Myself °¿°]

eyeballing DGAZ premarket tomorrow if natgas is up

[Myself °¿°]

U.S. Natural Gas Storage/Inventory Forecast...
http://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/natural-gas-storage-386

 Release Date	Time	Actual	Forecast	Previous	 
 Oct 15, 2015	10:30	??B 	93B	        95B	 
 Oct 08, 2015	10:30	95B	98B	        98B	 
 Oct 01, 2015	10:30	98B	100B	        106B	 
 Sep 24, 2015	10:30	106B	96B	        73B	 
 Sep 17, 2015	10:30	73B	73B	        68B	 
 Sep 10, 2015	10:30	68B	75B	        94B

Also: EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report link http://ir.eia.gov/ngs/ngs.html

[Myself °¿°]

eyeballing DGAZ 7.57 for a scalp but it needs to happen soon

[Myself °¿°]

It would be nice if I coud get DGAZ between 8.09-8.13, settle for 8.20? may have missed it altogether

I was waiting for /NG 2.48 premarket

[Myself °¿°]

RE: /cl oil & /ng natgas flipflop...
yes /ng spiked through 2.48 but
I was holding out for a touch more spread on the flipflop
...I thought oil would make a lower intraday low

/NG purple

[Myself °¿°]

~EXT limit order for DGAZ @8.10

[Myself °¿°]

Natural Gas Extends Gains
Forecasts for next 6 to 10 days call for colder-than-average weather in eastern U.S.
By NICOLE FRIEDMAN
Oct. 20, 2015 10:31 a.m. ET
http://www.wsj.com/articles/natural-gas-extends-gains-1445351488

NEW YORK--Natural gas prices continued to lift off of three-year lows Tuesday as traders bet that colder weather would limit the current oversupply of the fuel.

Natural gas futures for November delivery recently rose 4.2 cents, or 1.7%, to $2.484 a million British thermal units.

Prices fell to a three-year low Friday after inventory data showed that U.S. stockpiles of the fuel grew more than expected, indicating weaker demand or stronger production than analysts had anticipated.

Since then, forecasts have turned colder in the near term, boosting demand expectations. Cold weather adds to natural-gas consumption as more buildings use indoor heating.

Forecasts for the next six to 10 days are calling for colder-than-average weather in the eastern U.S., though temperatures are expected to moderate after that.

“Prices have been in a recovery mode...after a mini cold spell hit a portion of the U.S. over the last several days,” said Dominick Chirichella, analyst at the Energy Management Institute, in a note. However, he added, prices “should find limited support as the weather is expected to once again become unseasonably mild.”

Physical gas for next-day delivery at the Henry Hub in Louisiana last traded at $2.425/mmBtu, compared with Monday’s range of $2.38-$2.435. Cash prices at the Transco Z6 hub in New York last traded between $2.30 and $2.40/mmBtu, compared with Monday’s range of $2.40-$2.45.

Write to Nicole Friedman at [e-mail]

[Myself °¿°]

eyeballing UGAZ @+/- 5.50 looking for substancial /NG Volume @+/- 2.422

[Myself °¿°]

I think I was too late placing my EXT limit order for UGAZ @ 5.49
...we'll see if it drops back down and picks me up

[Myself °¿°]

~In UGAZ @ 5.49

[Myself °¿°]

~out UGAZ @5.36 -1,430 take my lumps not holding overnight
I was wrong

[Myself °¿°]

U.S. Natural Gas Storage/Forecast
http://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/natural-gas-storage-386

 Release Date	Time	Actual	Forecast	Previous	 
 Oct 22, 2015	10:30	??B 	88B	        100B	 
 Oct 15, 2015	10:30	100B	93B	        95B	 
 Oct 08, 2015	10:30	95B	98B	        98B	 
 Oct 01, 2015	10:30	98B	100B	        106B	 
 Sep 24, 2015	10:30	106B	96B	        73B	 
 Sep 17, 2015	10:30	73B	73B	        68B

[Myself °¿°]

Natural Gas Slides as Demand Jump Fails to Materialize
Hopes fade for a bout of cold weather
By CHRISTIAN BERTHELSEN
Updated Oct. 21, 2015 4:08 p.m. ET
http://www.wsj.com/articles/natural-gas-slides-as-demand-jump-fails-to-materialize-1445438792
Natural gas futures fell sharply Wednesday as hopes faded for a bout of cold fall weather, driving prices to their lowest levels in more than three years as investors abandoned expectations of a market recovery.

Natural gas futures for November delivery settled down 7.2 cents, or 2.9%, at $2.4040 a million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange, their lowest settlement since June 13, 2012.

Forecasts for the coming days were little changed going into Wednesday’s trading session, but the lack of a stronger development for cold weather dashed hopes for a jump in gas-fired heating demand. The market rallied through the first half of October in the expectation that demand would increase, but forecasts are calling for above-normal temperatures over a wide swath of the country in the coming days, and normal conditions through early November.

“Short-term temperature views are not offering much in the way of price support,” research consultancy Ritterbusch and Associates said in a note.

Natural gas inventories are already 4.7% above average for this time of year as of last week’s data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration, and analysts are predicting another addition to supplies in Thursday’s report. Some believe continued robust production could lead to stored inventory growth into mid-November, well past the time when demand usually begins causing supplies to contract.

“We expect prices to remain near their current low levels into year end,“ Goldman Sachs said in a research note. “We see risks as clearly skewed to another leg lower in gas prices in coming weeks.”

Write to Christian Berthelsen at [e-mail]

[Myself °¿°]

eyeballing ugaz 4.90-4.88 *or less, for an oversold bounce scalp. That would be 3% below yesterday's low. (*or less)
I'd hate to take it in premarket and would rather it happen intraday for a scalp into the close.

/ng buyers strike ...I may just scrap this idea if I don't like what I see

[Myself °¿°]

limit order for ugaz @4.71

[Myself °¿°]

Natural Gas Sells Off as Demand Picture Weakens
Investors have been heavily bearish on prospects for natural gas
By CHRISTIAN BERTHELSEN
Oct. 23, 2015 11:26 a.m. ET
http://www.wsj.com/articles/natural-gas-sells-off-as-demand-picture-weakens-1445614013
Natural gas prices slumped Friday as weather forecasts into November warmed up, rolling back hopes for an onslaught of gas-fired heating demand with the onset of cool fall temperatures.

Natural gas futures fell 5.5 cents or 2.3% to $2.3310 a million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange, on pace for its third losing session in a row. The market has been trading at its lowest levels in more than three years amid surging supplies from the boom in domestic shale production. The market has lost more than 28% since its peak early in the year.

Investors have been heavily bearish on prospects for natural gas, with more than twice as many short trades that profit when prices fall as bullish bets. U.S. data released Thursday showed domestic natural gas stockpiles now stand at more than 3.8 trillion cubic feet, 4.5% above average for this time of year.

“The market remains focused on short-term views in which generally mild temperature conditions are expected to return to the nation’s mid-section by the end of next week,” research consultancy Ritterbusch and Associates said in a note.

The warm-up in the forecasts hasn’t been drastic, but the delay in the onset of cool weather is raising concerns about weak demand at a time of rising supplies. A large swath of the country stretching from California to the Great Lakes is expected to see above-normal temperatures for this time of year over the next two weeks.

“The market remains over-supplied with the overall fundamentals still bearish,” the Energy Management Institute said in a note.

Write to Christian Berthelsen at [e-mail]

[Myself °¿°]

~In partial fill (less_than_1/2) UGAZ @4.71

[Myself °¿°]

~In UGAZ @4.71

[Myself °¿°]

~Tapped_out_of UGAZ @4.68 -384 Rough week. I_had a 400+gain_for_a_second

[Myself °¿°]

RE why I: Tapped_out_of UGAZ @4.68 from an intraday 4.71 scalp position...
OnBalanceVolume proved to me /ng was not going to see an end of day
short covering rally into the futures regular hours close, so I took the loss.
I'm not waiting until Sunday night or Monday am to see a 20 cent 'relief bounce' or 'drop'.
That would be a;
'hope trade'
or an
'ah shit position'

[Myself °¿°]

how low does /NG go... looking at rsi's, candle length and hstorical price
daily weekly monthly

daily


weekly


month

[Myself °¿°]

buyer's strike, eyeballing /ng 2.101 looking for volume

[Myself °¿°]

2,283+ contracts traded as it tore through my mark.. Im not seeing any volume to back it up. Normally I would have tapped in on that mark and would have been 1,100 in the hole instantly... break even, underwater again.
I'm not interested without volume to back it up
This is not a falling knife... Its a falling sword
Buyer's strike

[Myself °¿°]

Yes Natgas is way oversold but without serious volume, the 1.902 of April 2012 for a double bottom is the next real support.
Bounces between here and there will probably be short lived... holding overnight could hurt me.
I want to see;
...shorts volume taking profit
...buyer volume stepping in
...and short covering volume to fuel a serious bounce.

/NG watching volume

[Myself °¿°]

Don't fall for it... 1 minute /NG Vs UGAZ
/NG made a new low and UGAZ did not

[Myself °¿°]

Weather forecasts call for warmer-than-average temperatures in the next two weeks
http://www.wsj.com/articles/warm-fall-weather-sends-natural-gas-sliding-1445870080
Natural gas prices had their biggest one-day decline in 20 months on forecasts of warmer-than-average temperatures in the short term. ENLARGE
Natural gas prices had their biggest one-day decline in 20 months on forecasts of warmer-than-average temperatures in the short term. PHOTO: GLEB GARANICH/REUTERS
By NICOLE FRIEDMAN
Updated Oct. 26, 2015 5:08 p.m. ET

NEW YORK—The benchmark U.S. natural-gas price tumbled to its biggest one-day decline since February 2014 on expectations of a deepening supply glut.

Forecasts for warm fall weather across swaths of the U.S. spurred the nearly 10% plunge on Monday. Above-average temperatures at the start of heating season will undercut seasonal demand, analysts say, boosting stockpiles that already are near record highs.

“The market is now in absolute free fall,” said Stephen Schork, editor of energy-trading newsletter The Schork Report. “There’s no real strong forecast for any weather-[related] demand in the near future.”

The North American natural-gas market has been mired in a supply glut for years amid robust output. Companies continue to grow more efficient at extracting the fuel from shale rocks in Pennsylvania, Texas and elsewhere, and they’re able to maintain production even as gas prices plumb three-year lows.

But Monday’s selloff nevertheless is another blow to energy producers, which now must grapple with falling natural-gas prices in addition to low oil prices. Producers have struggled with persistently low gas prices for years and are now seeing additional threats to their earnings due to the past year’s plunge in oil prices.

Many global commodity markets have suffered from high supplies and concerns about demand, as years of investments in new production collided with slower-than-expected economic growth. Energy producers have sharply cut spending on new drilling this year in response, but many analysts and investors expect both oil and natural-gas prices to remain low through the end of 2015 and into 2016 as large inventories continue to pressure the market.

However, households and industrial consumers will continue to benefit as natural-gas prices continue to drop. About half of U.S. households use natural gas as their main heating fuel.

November natural gas slid 22.4 cents, or 9.8%, to $2.062 a million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the lowest close since April 2012 and the largest one-day percentage drop since February 2014.

Natural-gas prices typically rise ahead of the winter as colder weather sparks indoor-heating demand. But weather forecasts released Sunday night called for warmer-than-average temperatures in the next two weeks. Meteorologists widely expect moderate temperatures to persist through at least the first half of the winter due to El Niño, a weather phenomenon that tends to upend temperature and precipitation pattern world-wide.

Natural-gas inventories usually rise through the last week of October as producers store gas ahead of the winter season, when demand is highest. But analysts say producers could keep adding to storage into November this year, sparking concerns that storage facilities could near capacity if inventories continue to rise.

As of Oct. 16, inventories stood at 3.814 trillion cubic feet, 4.5% above the five-year average level for that time of year.

Mr. Schork, who added to his bets on lower natural-gas prices last week, said he sees an 87% chance that stockpiles hit a record by the end of October.

Write to Nicole Friedman at [e-mail]

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stockcharts $NATGAS day, week, month...

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Natural Gas Revived by Sign of Cold
Largest one-day gains in nearly two months
By TIMOTHY PUKO
Updated Oct. 30, 2015 5:09 p.m. ET
http://www.wsj.com/articles/natural-gas-keeps-sliding-on-warm-november-forecasts-1446216324
Natural gas rallied Friday, ending a lengthy selloff as the first sign of a winter chill led to the largest one-day gains in nearly two months.

Prices for the front-month December contract settled up 6.4 cents, or 2.8%, at $2.321 a million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The gains blunted steep losses from earlier in the week, but gas still fell 6.9% over the last five sessions. Gas has fallen in six of the past seven weeks.

It lost 8% for the month, its largest monthly fall since December. It has lost ground in fourth-straight months, the longest losing streak since September 2011.

Natural-gas prices had slumped to three-year lows on worries that moderate weather will limit indoor-heating demand and keep the market oversupplied. Near-record production may put stockpiles at record highs heading into the winter, and an unprecedented glut could develop without cold weather to stoke heating demand.

Friday’s midday weather updates did start to show the first signs of colder-than-normal weather on the way in about two weeks, according to several market participants. It may have spooked bearish traders from the market, leading them to close out positions by buying back contracts, bidding up the price, they added.

“The change in the weather has at least cracked open the possibility of doubt” for bearish traders, said Teri Viswanath, a natural-gas strategist at BNP Paribas SA in New York.

Matt Rogers of Commodity Weather Group LLC in Bethesda, Md., said late-day weather updates showed a return to unseasonably warm forecasts, which would suggest soft demand. He said he was “deeply suspicious” of the earlier update that suggested cold and strong demand on the way.

“It was basically a 3-4 day cold shot but enough to make the 11-15 day generate above-normal demand,” said Matt Rogers of Commodity Weather Group LLC in Bethesda, Md.

Natural gas is selling off for the seventh time in eight sessions as warm forecasts for early November keep weighing on the market.

Natural-gas futures for December delivery recently lost 0.2 cent, or 0.1%, to $2.255 a million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The last time a front-month December contract traded at these levels was in 1999.

Natural gas prices have slumped for more than a week on worries that moderate weather will limit indoor-heating demand and keep the market oversupplied. Natural gas is used as the primary heating fuel in about half of U.S. households.

Private forecasters show above-average temperatures widespread--most predicting they will cover half the country or more--into the second week of November. They have changed little throughout the week. They still show a peak next week with temperatures as much as 15 degrees Fahrenheit above normal from San Antonio to Buffalo.

“We are losing a...significant amount of demand via the warm forecast,” Scott Shelton, broker at ICAP PLC, said in a note.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration said Thursday that stockpiles rose to 3.9 trillion cubic feet last week. That is 4.1% above their five-year average level for this week of the year and 12% above their level at this time a year ago. At this pace, the market could set a record of around four trillion cubic feet heading into the winter heating season, analysts have said.

Those heavy stockpiles have played a large role in gas’s recent descent. Most weather forecasters say the El Nino weather phenomenon is likely to bring a warm winter to many of the country’s largest markets for natural gas. Tepid heating demand could leave an unprecedented glut heading into the spring.

Physical gas for next-day delivery at the Henry Hub in Louisiana last traded at $1.95/mmBtu, compared with Thursday’s range of $2.08-$2.14. Cash prices at the Transco Z6 hub in New York last traded at $1.30/mmBtu, compared with Thursday’s range of $2.00-$2.07.

Write to Timothy Puko at [e-mail]

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Scoping out: Historical $NATGAS including April 2012 low...

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Showing 4 static charts of 20012
This chart shows all of April 2012. Note the gap.


Monday April 23, Close. Gap @2.001


Friday April 20, Low of 1.902


Thursday April 19, Low of 1.902


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