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otraque

06/01/03 5:34 AM

#113343 RE: lee kramer #113341

AAII sentiment last three weeks spectacular volatility, bull/bear ratio was 3.8-1 three weeks ago, roughly 1.2-1 last week and this week about 4.3-1.
But i have 4 week average at about 54% to 21% or about 2.6-1 ratio (that in contrarian lens is bearish)---2-1 being a first bearish level contrarian measure.
ELECTRONIC RESULTS BELOW AS OF 5/28/2003) Sentiment Survey Results
Bullish 62.86%
Neutral 22.86%
Bearish 14.29%


Bullish Neutral Bearish
May 29: 62.86% 22.86% 14.29%
May 22:: 38.46% 25.96% 35.58%
May 15: 62.79% 20.93% 16.28%
May 8: 52.80% 28.80% 18.40%
May 1: 48.57% 25.71% 25.71%
April 24: 63.00% 18.00% 19.00%
April 17: 46.30% 22.22% 31.48%
April 10: 38.46% 30.77% 30.77%
April 3: 32.35% 29.41% 38.24%
March 27: 39.42% 27.88% 32.69%
March 20: 42.86% 19.05% 38.10%
March 13: 34.29% 14.29% 51.43%
March 6: 33.33% 27.27% 39.39%
February 27: 26.02% 26.83% 47.15%
February 20: 21.05% 21.05% 57.89%
February 13: 21.90% 40.00% 38.10%
February 6: 22.86% 51.43% 25.71%
January 30: 25.53% 26.60% 47.87%



The sentiment survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are bullish, bearish, and neutral on the stock market short term; individuals are polled from the AAII Web site on a weekly basis. Only one vote per member is accepted in each weekly voting period.
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Download the Sentiment Survey historical data from July 1987 to present:
Excel version



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deuce bigalow

06/01/03 3:06 PM

#113391 RE: lee kramer #113341

Thanks Lee Kramer.

Here's something for the bears, C has been a great indicator for bear market rallies and has been repelled at the downtrendline everytime, and we are sitting on it right now.

the only thing different is the huge panic volume trend changer that happened in july, so we'll have to SEE if C can break out and make the bulls HAPP-EEEEEEEEEEEEEE -g-