We attack Iran, they are going to attempt to close the Strait of Hormuz.(That stealth flying boats are surely designed specifically to be a factor in the SOH)
Their weaponry they have been displaying is announcing they have been putting much effort into being capable of closing the Strait of Hormuz
25% of the world's oil supply passes thru the SOH, and this is interesting, 75% of Japan's oil passes thru the SOH
The Strait of Hormuz, a narrow waterway separating the Arabian Gulf from the Gulf of Oman and the North Arabian Sea, is only about 40 miles wide, and is 34 miles wide at its narrowest point. By far the world's most important oil chokepoint, the Strait consists of 2-mile wide channels for inbound and outbound tanker traffic, as well as a 2-mile wide buffer zone.
The Persian Gulf is a shallow, semienclosed basin with a mean depth of only 25 to 40 m.
It has one 2 mile wide inbound channel and one 2-mile outbound channel, so we can presume the 40meter depths is in those 2 channels, or about 100 to 120 feet.
Their deisel sub is in todays terms , not much.
But Iran has indicated that they have been building miniature subs that can fire torpedos, have you come across any display of those during these war games?
If they had say 20 mini-subs currying around the SOH, they could raise havoc, but they would require very skilled and brave men to operate i would think.
U.S intelligence in an expected announcement, says Iran has little chance of blocking the straits, and are suggesting they are lying about their weapons capabilties.
But left face it, our intelligence gathering has yet to prove it is very intelligent.
i suspect they will move to close the SOH, or at least make moving a tanker thru it, a run of very dangerous gauntlet.
U.S. Navy moving any war major vessel into the strait runs a high risk.
Iran says they have been mss producing torpedos, and have plenty.
But another key is Iranian , do they have the modern level mines to mine the SOH.
Ther ability to, or not to mine the SOH will be significant.
Cripes since the SOH north side is their shore line, they can unleash there surface to sea missiles into the SOH.
The idea in the idiot neo-cons minds, that 2 B-2s can resolve all this is looneyland.
We or Israel attack Iran and that starts a war.
Which includes plans to attack inside the U.S.
Bush and Israel are indeed working overtime at making as many enemies as possible and making this world all the more dangerous.
Militarism will be answered with miltarism, one step at a time we move to the brink.
Gorbachev said at his birthday recently that the U.S. was given the gift to make the world a safer place, with the fall of the U.S.S.R; but have proven to be arrogant aggressive militarist that have made the world a more dangerous place.
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