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Re: justrpaul post# 176175

Sunday, 03/30/2014 8:59:02 AM

Sunday, March 30, 2014 8:59:02 AM

Post# of 257624
HCV prevalence, GILD/ENTA

Thanks Paul for correcting me,

I had missed that post.

Seems we need to apply the distributions (they often include prisoners etc) to the higher number (4-6M) or do estimates of usage off the lower number (2.8-3.2M).

Most of those in groups not counted in the lower estimates will never get treated - certainly not with very expensive treatments.

zip

PS - I did join the longs on GILD friday, deeming the selloff overdone even with my negative perception of the nature of the HCV market opportunity.

It is astonishing what foolish things one can temporarily believe if one thinks too long alone ... where it is often impossible to bring one's ideas to a conclusive test either formal or experimental. J.M. Keynes

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