GILD—I think your projected P/E ratios are much too high and that a P/E of 10 is reasonable. There’s a large amount of uncertainty a few years out, particularly in the HIV business.
Moreover, if GILD’s insiders seriously thought the share price would be $180 or even $120 in a year or two, they probably wouldn’t be unloading colossal amounts of stock at the current price.
“The efficient-market hypothesis may be the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated in any area of human knowledge!”