Upside potential outweighs the downside risk right now.
Everyone knows we are going to see dilution and cash is needed - this has been telegraphed for a long time by management and their actions as well as on all the message boards. This is priced into the stock. When the dilution hits it is not going to be a surprise to anyone.
There are no contracts (talk of contracts and management blamed Visser for being difficult to work with and non competitive pricing leading to arbitration) - this is public knowledge and also priced into the current stock price.
Downside risk - bad outcome from arbitration with Visser. This is the real risk right now and the true unknown as I see it.
Upside potential - any contract, major contract, positive outcome of arbitration, Apple rumors, new licensees, etc...
It seems the upside potential outweighs the current downside risk here right now. Thoughts?
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