In reality, you should also have 1a, 2a, 3a, etc.....as in how low will the pps go during the sell off after those binary events as profit taking takes place....seems to happen to darn near every bio stock these days....at least the ones I own or follow...as far as your actual guesstimates, not going to make my own predictions, but don't agree with the Adcom/PDUFA jump - news should be baked in after the Adcom, if it's a blowout vote the stock should jump post Adcom and stay there, as PDUFA will be pretty much a non-event that everyone already knows the outcome.
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