Well, it might make sense, but it doesn't really serve to explain or predict current prices. As much as we wold like to understand and predict the market's reaction to the current situation - it can't be done. The market will reveal on a real time basis. Besides, if this analysis were predictive then whatever run-up we do experience would be followed with a gut wrenching collapse.
It is all different today. A whole new all game If one is concerned about a 20 cent move in either direction then good luck with that. 2 weeks ago we were talking about possibly adding to our positions at $.12 and below!
I can't believe I missed the fact that Carlyle Group had purchased recently at $.22 - I wonder what prompted that!
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