Chainik, the problem with that argument is that US forces need at least another four weeks to be brought to critical mass, let say second week in February, well, that is smack in full moon, making the desert glow, not ideal for our forces. Since they will need another two weeks after buildup to get organized, if there is a war, hostilities will probably start on a dark night between March 1st and March 5th... That leaves us at best some earning induced bumps and swoons between here and mid February (and then late in January LRCX report and about two weeks late in mid February AMAT report) we should be in full swing down to the under 1300 area. I don't see any big rally in early February, at least, nothing induced by Iraq (except an unlikely exile of Saddam...).
Zeev