I was in favor of this spinoff if it meant monetizing VALE’s overvalued assets, and I thought fertilizer assets were indeed overvalued in Mar 2011 when the spinoff plan was announced (#msg-60633830).
Valuations in the fertilizer industry have now regressed a little, which is presumably why the spinoff has been nixed. Instead, VALE will buy out the minority shareholders for $1.4B.
“The efficient-market hypothesis may be the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated in any area of human knowledge!”