I don't see how anyone can predict anything but "up" in the short-term, until the FED backs off in June? There's not enough upside to go long, unless you can totally bury your disbelief in the short-term, or you are holding long and lucky enough to catch a breakout (i.e. MRO, and still moving up).
OXY, which I was eyeballing for FEB11 puts, has broken par after 1.5 months in a congestion zone. It looks like a "final" sprint before pulling back, but I'm not going to bet on it. As you can see, it got taken down on the May 6, 2010 plunge, up to -$16/sh.
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