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Re: jjsmith post# 67787

Thursday, 08/26/2010 8:31:22 PM

Thursday, August 26, 2010 8:31:22 PM

Post# of 312101
Now, how about $15/bbl:
JBI: A Conservative P2O Valuation Approach

This is an attempt to break the business model on the first 5 processors, and see what the results are.

Assumptions:

O/S: 53,000,000 (Roughly 1.5 million more than current)
Oil: $60/barrel (Bear market/Deflation)
Production:32,000 barrels (20% downtime)
Cost: $15/barrel(claim is under $10)
WTI (Should get WTI+$2, blending site should increase margins)
Taxes:40% (No tax incentives or credits)
PE:100 (Should be very achievable with easily replicated machine and media attention to cheap production, waste to fuel)

EPS/processor: 0.0163

1 Processor $1.63
2 Processors $3.26
3 Processors $4.89
4 Processors $6.52
5 Processors $8.15

Still very good numbers. What are the odds that every variable will come under claims or expectations?

To give an idea of the difference between $60 oil and the price of oil today at roughly $76/barrel, 2 processors would equal $4.41.

http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=52184564


A heartfelt thanks to all for working out this very conservative estimate- rce


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