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Re: Koikaze post# 1009

Sunday, 01/30/2005 6:41:01 PM

Sunday, January 30, 2005 6:41:01 PM

Post# of 1044
ZEEV, NEAR TERM - up to ZEEV:351256, 01/29/05

01/24: (348664) (*COMMENT*)

(Part 1)
hehe I think you just need to take the initiative and clean off that bear suit.. Every bounce gets sold real hard- and at 2028, we may lose this 2000 today..

That should get a run to the hills from you :)


(Part 2)
Looks like it...maybe the nassacre started already without the exytremes in the EPC.


(Part 3)
Are you changing your current BUY to a SELL with that last post ?
(*END*)

No. I was shaking like an autumn leaf in mid summer aa well...


01/25: (349336) (*COMMENT*)
I would not be surprised we go below 2000 before we move higher...
(*END*)

I am not sure, it seems as if we are finally changing the market's mood , just a tad here.


01/27: (350452) (*COMMENT*)
Z: Re: " ... and the nassacre is approaching."

Geez, I have seen something like it in my rearview since the end of December.... And now you say another is approaching? Oh, my, I can only take one at a time...<g>.
(*END*)

Justa, you just saw the shadow, beware of the real thing....


01/27: (350596) (*COMMENT*)
Zeev, Are you seeing something here to negate the possible run up prior to the Nassacre beginning are you?
(*END*)

So far, no, actually today's action allows for a breather without getting too exuberant, the streets loves walls of worry, and the orderly retreat was pretty good.


01/27: (350604) (*COMMENT*)
btw, has zeev announced the date and time for nassacre to begin. I 'll need an hour to clean up and prepare ....
tia
(*END*)

Nominal date is 2/23....FWIW... Mind you Jim has a turn 2/29, I believe.


01/27: (350640) (*COMMENT*)
Zeev-- Any chance that the rally at the end of the year was mostly MSFT induced and created a false technical picture?
(*END*)

If you mean, the failure of the market to retrench in December and then take a beating early in January, at the time, I mused that the $30 B MSFT liquidity injection into the markets might impact the original model that had a retrench to just before Christmas (we never had any). We got it later, but to roughly the same target (I had 2040/50, we overshot by a good 30 Naz points and are still struggling in the 2040/50 area here).


01/28: (350891) (*COMMENT*)
yes, sometimes the market's action requires me to flip-flop...but i haven't flip-flopped on my fundamental outlook for the next several years.

"My lesson from Soros is to accept that my understanding of the market is imperfect and that i am mistake prone, but happen to be
(*END*)

No problem, you did not see the VBG?


01/29: (351196) (*COMMENT*)
I have been looking at a couple of charts. Do you consider it a possibility that this retrench could end with some serious panic selling?
(*END*)

yes, but not any time soon, probably in late May to late June.

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