Excellent. Both of the factors you present are consequential to a much greater extent than the typical biotech investor understands.
What you’re calling “Survivorship Bias” I like to call program-survival bias so as to make it clear that it has nothing at all to do with patient survival (#msg-4702062).
Suggestion: anyone who does fully comprehend zebra’s post should print it out and contemplate it over and over until they do. These are among the most important concepts in biotech investing!
“The efficient-market hypothesis may be the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated in any area of human knowledge!”
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