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Re: gfp927z post# 33021

Monday, 04/05/2010 4:56:36 PM

Monday, April 05, 2010 4:56:36 PM

Post# of 57832
A high impact deal is, in my view, essential to help lower the risk, setting the foundation for re-listing.

I agree with the strategy of going "all in" with ADHD CX1739, but the risks are there... FDA(I think that the simple of an acceptance of the IND to initiate a phase IIa trial will be a mover of the stock in the short term. With a market cap of a few million and an enterprise value of much less, one can argue that "success of an automatic 'yes' from the FDA to begin ADHD testing with CX1739 is not 'factored into the share price.' I expect it on a rational basis, but I think that success here in the "iddy biddy step" may do quite a bit to begin to change perceptions.

I would urge Cortex to negotiate a deal with a top tier company in the ampakine high impact business, but, failing that, to trudge forward, spending essentially nothing in the high impact realm, holding them back for some day, is unwise and unsafe. I would more than settle for Servier to come forward with 5 million in upfront payments, ceding the high impacts away for a standard milestone, research and development collaboration for a few million a year. This would allow Cortex to further minimize the safety element, allowing them to re-hire the same/are or a new team to evaluate the high impacts, choosing a lead, to move forward with vigor.

The extra amount in upfront payments, warrants perhaps that are low-hanging fruit, would also allow Cortex to move from the pre-clinical stage, into toxicology with the 2007 series in the near future, perhaps allowing for a more lucrative end-stage low impact deal.

This is not a critique of Cortex' management, for Varney brought up a possible high impact collaboration. Faster please.

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