Plus, I find when you get a consensus of the mclellans and bp's turning down from a good run like you noted, again it usually means more it downside. Then ad in you have had a very low vix, and the mclellan macds are all pegged at the high end.
You CAN time the market!
But only after you trash the big 3 myths.
Myth 1 - its possible to get every point of every move ...Myth 2 - you'll never have a drawdown ......Myth 3 - you'll never have a loss