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Alias Born 11/19/2007

Re: Firebird400 post# 28132

Tuesday, 08/19/2008 12:35:31 AM

Tuesday, August 19, 2008 12:35:31 AM

Post# of 48360
maybe we can chase the bear back in the woods

Hi FireBird,

Like the old caddie joke, when the (bad) golfer asks him, "... do you think I can get it to the green from here with a five-iron?",
to which the caddie replies, "Eventually".

I've got a DOW30 study run that starts Oct-1928. Even with continuous contributions added,

it goes red in Sep-30,
runs out of reserves by Sep-31,
is down 72% by Jun-32
and doesn't return to the black until Oct-35.

And that's as if anyone would have had any $$ for contributions during those years. But things are different now. (?)

-sl
note: The dollar cost averager was still -12% by '35.

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