Tornado Alley (PROG)

[12yearplan]

Reza is excellent!. I did not hear one thing he said that wasn't spot on. Rump better not settle for any agreement that doesn't involve a near term vote..


AI Overview
Yes, there have been several independent polling efforts and leaked internal surveys of the population in Iran (estimated at roughly 90 million) regarding their preferred government system. These studies consistently show overwhelming desire for fundamental change, with a vast majority rejecting the current Islamic Republic.
Key Findings on Public Opinion (2022–2026):

Widespread Opposition: According to reports in early 2026, including leaked polls commissioned by the Iranian presidency, over 90% of Iranians oppose the current Islamic Republic leadership, including the Supreme Leader and the IRGC.
Desire for Democracy: Surveys frequently report that an overwhelming majority of Iranians, often cited around 89%, favor a democratic political system.
Rejection of Theocracy: A 2022 GAMAAN poll found that 67% of the population opposes a system governed by religious law, and recent data suggests a dramatic rise in support for secular government, with some figures indicating up to 73% favor separating religion from the state.
Preferred Alternative System: While there is consensus on not wanting the Islamic Republic, opinions on the replacement are split. Findings suggest strong interest in a secular republic, while support for a constitutional monarchy has seen a marked increase.
Rise of Secularism: Recent, more, and more Iranians identify as non-religious or secular, with a 2024 analysis showing over 85% of people saying they have become less religious over the last five years.

Methodological Notes

GAMAAN (Group for Analyzing and Measuring Attitudes in Iran): This Dutch-based group conducts anonymous, online surveys that are considered highly reliable for gauging opinion within Iran. Their studies generally find that a 70–80% majority supports regime change as a pre-condition for change.
Leaked Internal Data: Occasional reports of internal, confidential polling commissioned by the Iranian presidency or the IRGC, such as a 2026 report revealing 92% opposition, corroborate these findings of widespread public discontent.

Challenges and Nuance

Diverse Views on Alternatives: While united in opposing the current regime, Iranians are diverse in their preference for a successor system, including secular, federalist, or monarchist models.
Desire for Strong Leadership: Interestingly, while favoring democracy, some polls suggest a significant portion of the population—around 43%—is also open to a "strong leader" to lead the transition.
"Woman, Life, Freedom" Impact: The 2022–2023 protests significantly hardened public opinion against the regime, with 81% opposition reported during that period.

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