Friday, January 30, 2026 4:05:49 PM
Here's a little background on my share price estimation methodology:
- I start with a snapshot of the current financial condition, including B/S, P&L, available guidance, then I map out what I think 2026 will look like, and then consider what the future looks like as of 12/31/26
- Then as a subjective overlay, I assume that the company is being run by the five dumbest people from my 9th grade Consumer Math class
- At that point, taking these factors into account, I come up with a preliminary share price estimate of about $85 as of 12/31/26
- Then for secondary adjustments, I factor in (1) the company's karma, (2) my own karma, and (3) the value likely to be added by current actual management
- Factoring those secondary adjustments in, I get a final estimate of negative $500 billion per share
Let me also just add, if I might, that I hate this fucking company so fucking much it makes my fucking teeth ache.
I'm looking forward to seeing the full list of predictions. Thanks again for doing this!
"The biggest obstacles to our progress exist within our own lives in the form of cowardice and the tendency to give up. Breaking through these barriers will unleash a surging wave of change." -- Daisaku Ikeda
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