Friday, December 19, 2025 8:09:46 AM
In addition, the analysis had methodological issues which raised concerns about the validity of the results
I believe they are referring to using extremely optimistic numbers to calculate power
from the JPAD article
Sample size and power calculations were based on a simulation approach with several planned scenarios and assuming co-primary endpoints (ADAS-Cog13 and ADCS-ADL). The sample size calculation assumes the mean difference between either blarcamesine arm and placebo of 1.5 points (SD=4.5) in the ADAS-Cog and ADCS-ADL with at least 90% power using a two-sample t-test with alpha = 0.05 (2-sided). For the calculation of power concerning co-primary endpoints, conservatively assuming that power can be independently calculated [33], this will achieve at least 80% power for two endpoints. A 33% dropout rate was considered in estimating the sample size based on earlier studies. Therefore, 509 participants would need to be enrolled to allow for an anticipated 342 completers, i.e., 228 patients per combined treatment and 114 per placebo arm, respectively.
On the surface this sounds ok ---- but where in the world did they get std dev 4.5. Every trial using ADAS-Cog gets std dev about 7-9 (including the actual blarcamesine trial.
By my calculations using their '1.5 points (SD=4.5)' and using power of 90% for each endpoint requires 426 patients or (635 patients before expected 33% dropout That's close to the 509. Now use realistic stddev of 7.5 and you get 1182 patients needed (1764 patients before dropout) --- this is not a little matter. Its a methodological error raising concerns about the validity of the trial
Recent AVXL News
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 05/22/2026 12:15:26 PM
- Anavex Life Sciences Receives Expected Nasdaq Delinquency Notification • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 05/22/2026 12:00:00 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 05/15/2026 08:15:25 PM
- Form 3 - Initial statement of beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 05/14/2026 08:15:30 PM
- Form NT 10-Q - Notification of inability to timely file Form 10-Q or 10-QSB • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 05/11/2026 08:30:22 PM
- CEO Transition and Delayed SEC Filing Put Anavex (AVXL) Leadership Changes in Focus • IH Market News • 05/06/2026 02:52:36 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 05/06/2026 11:04:59 AM
- Anavex Life Sciences Board of Directors Appoints Former Senior Vice President of Clinical Development Terrie Kellmeyer, PhD, as Interim Chief Executive Officer • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 05/06/2026 11:00:00 AM
- Form 3 - Initial statement of beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 05/01/2026 11:18:47 PM
- Anavex Life Sciences Highlights New Scientific Findings on Shared Biology Between Autism and Alzheimer’s Disease • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/14/2026 11:30:00 AM
- Anavex Life Sciences to Present at the 25th Annual Needham Virtual Healthcare Conference • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/07/2026 11:30:00 AM
- Anavex withdraws EU approval filing for Alzheimer’s therapy • IH Market News • 03/30/2026 12:39:26 PM
- Anavex Life Sciences Provides Comprehensive Regulatory Update • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 03/30/2026 11:30:00 AM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/25/2026 08:06:00 PM
- Anavex withdraws EU marketing application for Alzheimer’s therapy blarcamesine • IH Market News • 03/25/2026 02:06:58 PM
- Anavex Life Sciences Provides Update on Regulatory Review in the EU for Blarcamesine to Treat Early Alzheimer’s Disease • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 03/25/2026 11:30:00 AM
- Anavex Life Sciences Presents New Data from its AD-004 Phase IIb/III Trial at AD/PD 2026 Conference Demonstrating Consistent Correlation Between the Treatment Effect of Oral Blarcamesine and Preservation of Brain Volume in Early Alzheimer’s Disease • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 03/23/2026 11:30:00 AM
- New Scientific Findings Highlight Hypothesis of Autophagy Failure as a Precursor of Amyloid Beta and Tau Pathology in Alzheimer’s Disease • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 03/20/2026 11:30:00 AM
- Anavex Life Sciences Presents Significant Treatment Effects of Blarcamesine in New Advanced Alpha-Synuclein Model of Parkinson’s Disease at AD/PD 2026 Conference • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 03/17/2026 11:30:00 AM
- Anavex Life Sciences to Present at the Citizens Life Sciences Conference • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 03/03/2026 12:30:00 PM
- Anavex Life Sciences to Present at the 46th TD Cowen Annual Health Care Conference • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 02/25/2026 12:30:00 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/25/2026 11:07:01 AM
- Anavex Life Sciences Appoints Seasoned Healthcare Leader to Board of Directors • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 02/23/2026 12:30:00 PM
- Form 10-Q - Quarterly report [Sections 13 or 15(d)] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/09/2026 09:40:27 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/09/2026 12:31:17 PM
