NorthWest Biotherapeutics Inc (NWBO)

[eagle8]

Lou Smith 🍀
@smith348572
Here is the most logical, evidence-based explanation for why market makers are keeping $NWBO share price extremely low and why this behavior is the opposite of normal market dynamics.

✅ The #1
Most Logical Reason: They Cannot Allow the Price to Rise Before Approval

This is the core reasoning that explains EVERYTHING.

If $NWBO has (imho):
•2B+ synthetic / naked short shares
•MHRA approval appears almost certain, with a 95% probability

then any significant rise in the price before the approval would trigger:

? Margin calls

? Buy-ins

? Collateral requirements jumping

? A forced short squeeze BEFORE the news

This would be catastrophic before they even get to the real danger: approval.
They must keep the price flat or lower to survive until the announcement.

✅ Reason #2
They need liquidity to escape if the worst happens

If approval arrives:

MM’s and hedge funds with synthetic shorts will need:
•massive volume
•massive retail/institutional buying
•massive price movement
to cover or partially cover.

BUT they cannot create that volume now.

So the goal is:
Keep the stock boring, flat, and unattractive.

Avoid volume.
Avoid buyers.

Because if big money steps in early, it steals the liquidity needed for them to escape later.

✅ Reason #3
They are avoiding “price discovery” before the approval

Remember this:
$NWBO is not trading based on its company value.
It trades based on short liabilities.

If price discovery happened today, the stock would instantly price in:
•UK approval probability
•GBM market
•Sawston’s MIA
•Flaskworks
•the lawsuit
•institutional entry
•partnership potential
•global regulatory follow-on approvals

Basic biotech math says NWBO’s pre-approval fair value is $2–$4.

But if the price rises now real price discovery = margin calls = forced covering.

So they prevent price discovery by:
•spoof walls
•dark pool volume
•hit pieces
•walking the bid
•grinding charts to discourage buyers

✅ Reason #4
They are defending a “synthetic short pyramid”

In a synthetic short structure, each additional synthetic share requires another layer of hedging.

If the stock rises:
•the hedges explode in cost,
•the options offsets become invalid,
•the synthetic chain collapses.

This creates a pyramid structure that must stay stable until the binary event (approval).
2:47 PM · Nov 15, 2025
·
277
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Here is the most logical, evidence-based explanation for why market makers are keeping $NWBO share price extremely low and why this behavior is the opposite of normal market dynamics.

✅ The #1
Most Logical Reason: They Cannot Allow the Price to Rise Before Approval

This is…

— Lou Smith 🍀 (@smith348572) November 15, 2025