Amarin Corp Plc (AMRN)

[Whalatane]

Alm2 ..arent you a barrister or solicitor ...sorry forgot which . Theres significant upside if AMRN prevails vs Hikma

Groks view
Likelihood of Amarin Prevailing
Amarin has a strong chance of prevailing at the current stage due to the Federal Circuit’s ruling, which validates the plausibility of its inducement claims and allows the case to proceed to discovery. The court’s holistic view of Hikma’s conduct—combining label changes, marketing, and public statements—provides a favorable framework for Amarin to build its case.
However, several uncertainties remain:
Discovery Outcomes: Amarin’s success hinges on uncovering evidence of Hikma’s intent or actual inducement, which is speculative without further documentation or testimony.
Supreme Court Involvement: If the Supreme Court takes the case and rules in favor of skinny labels, Amarin’s claims could be significantly weakened or dismissed.
Trial Burden: At trial, Amarin must meet a higher evidentiary standard to prove inducement, which could be challenging without direct evidence of Hikma’s intent.

Given these factors, Amarin’s likelihood of prevailing is moderately high at the pre-trial stage (approximately 60-70% chance of surviving further motions), but its success at trial or on appeal depends on the strength of evidence uncovered and the Supreme Court’s potential intervention.
A settlement remains a plausible outcome, as both parties face risks in prolonged litigation.

Kiwi ( ex Clapham North squatter in mid 70's :--)