Anavex Life Sciences Corp (AVXL)

[Bourbon_on_my_cornflakes]

The company will be partnering with a large company, probably very soon. That company will be probably giving Anavex about $1B for a stake in the company. That stake could happen at $30pps which would value the company at about $2.5B give or take. ......maybe we get the stock up to $50 in the next 25 days - 6 months. With approval we go to $80 and a buyout gets us to $150 in about 12 months give or take a few months. Plausible?

With you on the general scenario, but not the initial partnership payment. $1 billion is a decent figure for just a partnership, no equity. Of course that structure is unlikely, I agree, they will want equity. IMO 10-20% is an reasonable stake for what you are proposing, not 40%, which is nuts for the value here. That would provide the fuel for your $50 in six months. Agree with the $80 on approval, been saying that for a while. The $150 buyout price is plausible, although I would say $150-$200. I would not normally be overthrilled with that, but now tend to favor it with a BP that is aggressively pushing this area, say a Lilly.