| Followers | 1 |
| Posts | 431 |
| Boards Moderated | 0 |
| Alias Born | 12/14/2024 |
Friday, May 02, 2025 8:27:10 PM
Honestly, while it's still in this era of pilot studies and single-institution trials, it's very difficult to see the tissue agnostic story being meaningful.
I do agree that the preclinical foundation is interesting, and that a tissue-agnostic role is not impossible. But you can't have paid to the history of immunotherapy without seeing this kind of hype build and then face reality. Back in 2014, when nivo and pembro were lighting the world on fire, it was a question of "which cancers can NOT be treated by immune checkpoint inhibitors?"
The answer ended up being a lot of them, and for reasons we still are working on figuring out. You'd think it was the PD-L1-high cancers. Nope, that doesn't predict it. Then it was the tumor mutational burden high cancers, which works great as biomarker, until it doesn't (as published in the NEJM in recent years).
The "soon to be recognized" ability to ramp up production is one speculation, and certainly a necessary step to achieving revenue that justifies even the current valuation.
And the remarks on the NHS funding would put me much further into the weeds than my editors will allow me to go. Massively speculative notion that the NHS has any awareness of, let alone enthusiasm for, any specific treatment being considered for approval.
The more speculation that needs to come true for the thesis to make sense, the less it makes sense. Right now, everything remains up in the air. NWBO has no cash, so I don't know how they will fund their launch. I am not willing to bet that a partner is waiting in the wings.
We don't know if approval is assured. I feel and have stated that it's basically a lock, but my opinion doesn't matter to the regulators. But approval wouldn't be a surprise ala Provenge back in the day, so I think there's a reality check coming for the "substantial price increase." My analysis states this perspective outright, that it would not be a surprise to me to see the valuation decline when NWBO actually has to successfully launch a drug.
I do agree that the preclinical foundation is interesting, and that a tissue-agnostic role is not impossible. But you can't have paid to the history of immunotherapy without seeing this kind of hype build and then face reality. Back in 2014, when nivo and pembro were lighting the world on fire, it was a question of "which cancers can NOT be treated by immune checkpoint inhibitors?"
The answer ended up being a lot of them, and for reasons we still are working on figuring out. You'd think it was the PD-L1-high cancers. Nope, that doesn't predict it. Then it was the tumor mutational burden high cancers, which works great as biomarker, until it doesn't (as published in the NEJM in recent years).
The "soon to be recognized" ability to ramp up production is one speculation, and certainly a necessary step to achieving revenue that justifies even the current valuation.
And the remarks on the NHS funding would put me much further into the weeds than my editors will allow me to go. Massively speculative notion that the NHS has any awareness of, let alone enthusiasm for, any specific treatment being considered for approval.
The more speculation that needs to come true for the thesis to make sense, the less it makes sense. Right now, everything remains up in the air. NWBO has no cash, so I don't know how they will fund their launch. I am not willing to bet that a partner is waiting in the wings.
We don't know if approval is assured. I feel and have stated that it's basically a lock, but my opinion doesn't matter to the regulators. But approval wouldn't be a surprise ala Provenge back in the day, so I think there's a reality check coming for the "substantial price increase." My analysis states this perspective outright, that it would not be a surprise to me to see the valuation decline when NWBO actually has to successfully launch a drug.
Recent NWBO News
- CNS Drug Delivery Breakthroughs Unlock Significant Biotech Market Opportunities • InvestorsHub NewsWire • 05/11/2026 01:00:00 PM
- CNS Drug Delivery Breakthroughs Unlock Significant Biotech Market Opportunities • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 05/11/2026 12:30:00 PM
- Northwest Biotherapeutics Appoints Dr. Annalisa Jenkins As Strategic Adviser To Advance Dendritic Cell Cancer Vaccine Platform • PR Newswire (US) • 04/30/2026 04:38:00 PM
- Northwest Biotherapeutics Appoints Dr. Annalisa Jenkins As Strategic Adviser To Advance Dendritic Cell Cancer Vaccine Platform • PR Newswire (US) • 04/30/2026 04:30:00 PM
- Northwest Biotherapeutics Announces Establishment Of the Company's Own Dedicated Leukapheresis Clinic • PR Newswire (US) • 04/21/2026 01:30:00 PM
- Northwest Biotherapeutics Announces Establishment Of the Company's Own Dedicated Leukapheresis Clinic • PR Newswire (US) • 04/21/2026 01:30:00 PM
- Form EFFECT - Notice of Effectiveness • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/21/2026 04:15:08 AM
- Form POS AM - Post-Effective amendments for registration statement • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/16/2026 09:25:30 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/07/2026 04:30:50 PM
- Form NT 10-K - Notification of inability to timely file Form 10-K 405, 10-K, 10-KSB 405, 10-KSB, 10-KT, or 10-KT405 • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/31/2026 09:04:37 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/15/2026 10:06:20 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/02/2026 10:14:59 PM
- Form DEF 14A - Other definitive proxy statements • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 11/28/2025 09:43:27 PM
- Form 424B5 - Prospectus [Rule 424(b)(5)] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 11/25/2025 10:23:07 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 11/20/2025 09:26:03 PM
- Form PRE 14A - Other preliminary proxy statements • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 11/19/2025 09:15:48 PM
- Form 10-Q - Quarterly report [Sections 13 or 15(d)] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 11/14/2025 09:44:21 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 10/31/2025 04:29:10 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 10/30/2025 08:40:05 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 10/24/2025 04:28:38 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 10/14/2025 06:22:26 PM
- Form 10-Q - Quarterly report [Sections 13 or 15(d)] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/14/2025 09:00:38 PM
- Form 424B5 - Prospectus [Rule 424(b)(5)] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 07/01/2025 09:04:38 PM
