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Tuesday, 03/25/2025 1:13:49 PM

Tuesday, March 25, 2025 1:13:49 PM

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Silver (XAG) Forecast: Breakouts Above $33.45 Pivot as Safe-Haven Demand Sparks Rally
By: James Hyerczyk | March 25, 2025

Key Points:

• Silver breaks above $33.45 pivot, signaling bullish momentum with $34.24 and $35.40 now back in traders' sights.
• Weak U.S. consumer confidence data hits 12-year low, driving safe-haven demand for silver and gold.
• Fed rate cut expectations boost silver outlook as lower yields increase the metal’s appeal to risk-averse investors.

Silver Rebounds Sharply as Safe-Haven Demand Intensifies

Silver surged on Tuesday, reversing last week’s pullback, as weak U.S. consumer confidence data and tariff uncertainty fueled safe-haven buying. With the metal reclaiming ground above its key technical pivot, trader sentiment has turned bullish again, supported by broader macro risks and a constructive technical structure.

At 15.07 GMT, XAG/USD is trading $33.70, up $0.68 or +2.05%.

Technical Break Reinforces Bullish Case


Daily Silver (XAG/USD)

After briefly dipping to $32.66 last week, silver has regained the $33.45 pivot, which now serves as near-term support. The level is seen as a trigger for momentum trades, and a sustained move above it could drive a retest of the recent high at $34.24. A breakout above that zone would open the path toward resistance between $34.87 and $35.40. Conversely, a failure to hold $33.45 could expose the downside to the $32.53–$31.81 retracement range.

The 50-day moving average at $32.09 remains a key technical guidepost. Silver has respected this average since December, reinforcing its role as a broader trend indicator. As long as price action remains above it, technical traders will continue favoring the long side.

Silver Outlook: Bias Tilted to the Upside

With risk sentiment deteriorating and technicals aligned to the upside, silver remains positioned for further gains. A close above $34.24 would confirm bullish momentum, with traders eyeing $35.40 as a near-term target. Any dips toward $33.45 or $32.66 are likely to be viewed as buying opportunities, particularly if macro headwinds persist and gold continues to hold above $3,000.

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